Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-25u
ROI
-7.3%
win rate
29%
bets
35
drawdown
7.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+15u
period 6profit withdrawn+14u
period 5profit withdrawn+13u
period 4top-up-20u
period 3top-up-49u
period 2profit withdrawn+2u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 35 | 29% | -23 | -6.7% | 8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 35 | 29% | -25 | -7.3% | 7.9% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 35 | 29% | -55 | -7.9% | 15.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 35 | 29% | -171 | -9.8% | 37.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 35 | 29% | -449 | -13% | 78.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 11 | 9% | -2210 | -94.5% | 214.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 35, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 975 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 953 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +20 | 964 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 943 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 10 | won | +23 | 953 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 940 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 950 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 960 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 940 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 950 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 960 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 970 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 11 | lost | -11 | 991 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 10 | won | +22 | 1002 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 10 | won | +25 | 979 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 955 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 965 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 10 | won | +29 | 975 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 947 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 957 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 967 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 10 | won | +23 | 946 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 943 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 953 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 963 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 972 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 10 | won | +22 | 1002 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 980 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.