Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-145u
ROI
-18.7%
win rate
26%
bets
39
drawdown
24.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-33u
period 6top-up-40u
period 5profit withdrawn+4u
period 4top-up-20u
period 3top-up-59u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 39 | 26% | -66 | -17% | 12.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 39 | 26% | -69 | -17.9% | 12.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 39 | 26% | -145 | -18.7% | 24.4% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 39 | 26% | -401 | -21.1% | 59.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 39 | 26% | -903 | -24.6% | 114% | Select |
| Martingale | 31 | 23% | -2095 | -68.9% | 200.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 39, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 19 | won | +39 | 855 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 18 | won | +37 | 816 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 18 | lost | -18 | 779 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 19 | lost | -19 | 797 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 18 | won | +42 | 816 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 18 | lost | -18 | 774 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 18 | lost | -18 | 792 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 19 | lost | -19 | 810 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 19 | lost | -19 | 829 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 20 | lost | -20 | 849 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 20 | lost | -20 | 868 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 888 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 908 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 928 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 21 | lost | -21 | 948 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 21 | lost | -21 | 969 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 20 | won | +44 | 990 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 21 | lost | -21 | 947 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | 967 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 22 | lost | -22 | 989 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 20 | won | +59 | 1010 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 21 | lost | -21 | 952 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 21 | lost | -21 | 972 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 22 | lost | -22 | 994 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 21 | won | +44 | 1015 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.13 | 20 | won | +43 | 971 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 19 | won | +44 | 929 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 885 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 904 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 20 | lost | -20 | 924 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 19 | lost | -19 | 944 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 20 | lost | -20 | 964 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 983 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1003 |
| 14.06.26 | K27 – Walczaki | K27 | 3.04 | 20 | won | +40 | 1024 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 984 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 19 | won | +43 | 1004 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 20 | lost | -20 | 960 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 980 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.