Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-290u
ROI
-18.5%
win rate
26%
bets
31
drawdown
42.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-55u
period 6profit withdrawn+27u
period 5profit withdrawn+58u
period 4top-up-98u
period 3top-up-226u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 31 | 26% | -50 | -16.2% | 8.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 31 | 26% | -52 | -16.7% | 8.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 31 | 26% | -107 | -17.2% | 16.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 31 | 26% | -290 | -18.5% | 42.2% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 31 | 26% | -650 | -20.7% | 86.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 11 | 9% | -2210 | -94.5% | 214.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 31, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 43 | won | +90 | 710 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 45 | lost | -45 | 620 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 41 | won | +85 | 665 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 43 | lost | -43 | 580 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 45 | lost | -45 | 623 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 48 | lost | -48 | 668 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 50 | lost | -50 | 716 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 54 | lost | -54 | 766 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 57 | lost | -57 | 820 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 60 | lost | -60 | 877 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 54 | won | +116 | 937 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 57 | lost | -57 | 821 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 60 | lost | -60 | 878 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 63 | lost | -63 | 938 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 55 | won | +158 | 1001 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 58 | lost | -58 | 843 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 61 | lost | -61 | 901 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 55 | won | +118 | 962 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 50 | won | +106 | 844 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 48 | won | +108 | 738 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 50 | lost | -50 | 630 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 48 | lost | -48 | 680 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 50 | lost | -50 | 728 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 41 | lost | -41 | 778 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 43 | lost | -43 | 818 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 45 | lost | -45 | 861 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 48 | lost | -48 | 906 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 50 | lost | -50 | 954 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 45 | won | +101 | 1004 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 48 | lost | -48 | 902 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 50 | lost | -50 | 950 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.