Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-174u
ROI
-23.8%
win rate
23%
bets
73
drawdown
19.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-95u
period 6profit withdrawn+29u
period 5top-up-103u
period 4profit withdrawn+43u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2top-up-8u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 73 | 23% | -174 | -23.8% | 19.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 73 | 23% | -179 | -24.5% | 20.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 73 | 23% | -337 | -23.1% | 37.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 22% | -443 | -23.4% | 64.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 73 | 23% | -780 | -21.3% | 85.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 73 | 23% | -1410 | -19% | 128.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 73, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 9 | won | +19 | 826 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 9 | lost | -9 | 808 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 817 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 826 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 9 | lost | -9 | 835 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 9 | lost | -9 | 844 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 853 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 863 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 872 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 882 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Lilmix | 5.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | Lilmix | 4.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 901 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 911 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 921 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 932 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 11 | lost | -11 | 942 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 11 | lost | -11 | 953 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +21 | 964 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 11 | lost | -11 | 942 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 11 | lost | -11 | 953 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 11 | lost | -11 | 964 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 11 | lost | -11 | 974 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 11 | won | +23 | 985 |
| 23.09.26 | QUAZAR – Misa | Misa | 3.06 | 10 | won | +22 | 963 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 10 | won | +21 | 941 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 920 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 931 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 11 | lost | -11 | 941 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 11 | lost | -11 | 952 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 11 | lost | -11 | 962 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 11 | won | +30 | 973 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 11 | lost | -11 | 943 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 11 | lost | -11 | 954 |
| 10.09.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Zero Tenacity | Noir Verse | 3.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | 964 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 11 | lost | -11 | 975 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | 986 |
| 04.09.26 | MOUZ NXT – Bushido Wildcats | MOUZ NXT | 3.99 | 11 | won | +32 | 997 |
| 03.09.26 | 3DMAX – HOTU | 3DMAX | 3.81 | 10 | won | +29 | 965 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 10 | won | +21 | 936 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 10 | won | +21 | 915 |
| 02.09.26 | HOTU – paiN | paiN | 3.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 894 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 904 |
| 01.09.26 | Permitta – Bushido Wildcats | Permitta | 3.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 883 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 9 | won | +20 | 893 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 873 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 9 | lost | -9 | 882 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 891 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 900 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 909 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 9 | lost | -9 | 918 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | 928 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 947 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 966 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 986 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 996 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 985 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.