Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-117u
ROI
-15.4%
win rate
26%
bets
76
drawdown
17.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-22u
period 6top-up-26u
period 5top-up-65u
period 4profit withdrawn+23u
period 3top-up-40u
period 2profit withdrawn+13u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 76 | 26% | -117 | -15.4% | 17.4% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -121 | -16.1% | 17.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -249 | -16.7% | 34.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 25 | 24% | -436 | -22.8% | 64.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -663 | -18.3% | 80.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -1396 | -20.4% | 145.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 76, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 883 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 893 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | 872 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 882 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 10 | won | +30 | 902 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 871 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 861 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 10 | won | +26 | 871 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 845 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 855 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 865 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 845 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 855 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 865 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 875 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 885 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 895 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 915 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 925 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 935 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 945 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 955 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 934 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 944 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 954 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 964 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 10 | won | +21 | 974 |
| 23.09.26 | QUAZAR – Misa | Misa | 3.06 | 10 | won | +21 | 953 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 932 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 942 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 952 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 962 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 972 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 10 | won | +29 | 992 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 964 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 10 | won | +20 | 994 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 10 | won | +21 | 974 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 952 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 931 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 10 | won | +22 | 941 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 10 | won | +23 | 919 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 906 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 926 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 936 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 946 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 966 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 986 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 996 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 1006 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 985 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.