Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-663u
ROI
-18.3%
win rate
26%
bets
76
drawdown
80.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-148u
period 6top-up-177u
period 5top-up-295u
period 4profit withdrawn+97u
period 3top-up-190u
period 2profit withdrawn+50u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 76 | 26% | -117 | -15.4% | 17.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -121 | -16.1% | 17.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -249 | -16.7% | 34.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 25 | 24% | -436 | -22.8% | 64.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -663 | -18.3% | 80.5% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 76 | 26% | -1396 | -20.4% | 145.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 76, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 45 | lost | -45 | 337 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 41 | won | +86 | 382 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 43 | lost | -43 | 296 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 45 | lost | -45 | 339 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 47 | lost | -47 | 384 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 41 | won | +124 | 431 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 37 | won | +77 | 307 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 39 | lost | -39 | 230 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 41 | lost | -41 | 269 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 37 | won | +95 | 310 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 38 | lost | -38 | 215 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 254 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 3.02 | 37 | won | +74 | 294 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 39 | lost | -39 | 220 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 41 | lost | -41 | 259 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 43 | lost | -43 | 299 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 45 | lost | -45 | 342 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | HAVU | 3.69 | 48 | lost | -48 | 387 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 50 | lost | -50 | 435 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 43 | lost | -43 | 485 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 46 | lost | -46 | 528 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 48 | lost | -48 | 574 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 51 | lost | -51 | 622 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 53 | lost | -53 | 672 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 48 | won | +97 | 726 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 51 | lost | -51 | 628 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 54 | lost | -54 | 679 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 56 | lost | -56 | 732 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.08 | 59 | lost | -59 | 789 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 54 | won | +114 | 848 |
| 23.09.26 | QUAZAR – Misa | Misa | 3.06 | 49 | won | +100 | 734 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Fortress | 3.06 | 51 | lost | -51 | 634 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 54 | lost | -54 | 685 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 57 | lost | -57 | 739 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 60 | lost | -60 | 795 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 63 | lost | -63 | 855 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 66 | lost | -66 | 918 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 58 | won | +166 | 984 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 61 | lost | -61 | 818 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 64 | lost | -64 | 879 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 67 | lost | -67 | 943 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 61 | won | +124 | 1010 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 55 | won | +118 | 886 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 50 | won | +106 | 768 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 37 | lost | -37 | 662 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 33 | won | +75 | 699 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 30 | won | +68 | 625 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 32 | lost | -32 | 556 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 33 | lost | -33 | 588 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 35 | lost | -35 | 621 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 37 | lost | -37 | 656 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 39 | lost | -39 | 693 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 41 | lost | -41 | 731 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 43 | lost | -43 | 772 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 45 | lost | -45 | 815 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 48 | lost | -48 | 860 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 50 | lost | -50 | 908 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 58 | lost | -58 | 958 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 52 | won | +109 | 1015 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 55 | lost | -55 | 907 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.