Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-196u
ROI
-12.9%
win rate
27%
bets
77
drawdown
35.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+14u
period 6top-up-73u
period 5top-up-125u
period 4profit withdrawn+43u
period 3top-up-78u
period 2profit withdrawn+23u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 77 | 27% | -90 | -11.7% | 18% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 77 | 27% | -94 | -12.3% | 18% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 77 | 27% | -196 | -12.9% | 35.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 25 | 24% | -436 | -22.8% | 64.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 77 | 27% | -540 | -14.8% | 83% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 77 | 27% | -1192 | -17.4% | 148.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 77, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 19 | won | +41 | 804 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 20 | lost | -20 | 763 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 20 | lost | -20 | 783 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 19 | won | +58 | 803 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 20 | lost | -20 | 745 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 19 | won | +39 | 765 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 19 | lost | -19 | 726 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 19 | lost | -19 | 745 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 19 | won | +44 | 765 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 18 | won | +46 | 721 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 18 | lost | -18 | 675 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 18 | lost | -18 | 693 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | 711 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 19 | lost | -19 | 730 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 20 | lost | -20 | 749 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 19 | won | +38 | 769 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.53 | 19 | lost | -19 | 731 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 750 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 20 | lost | -20 | 770 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 19 | lost | -19 | 790 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 19 | lost | -19 | 809 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 828 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 848 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 19 | won | +39 | 868 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 20 | lost | -20 | 829 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 848 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 21 | lost | -21 | 869 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 21 | lost | -21 | 889 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 20 | won | +43 | 910 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 19 | won | +47 | 867 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 820 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 840 |
| 17.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – B8 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 860 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 21 | lost | -21 | 880 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 21 | lost | -21 | 901 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 22 | lost | -22 | 922 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 22 | lost | -22 | 944 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 21 | won | +60 | 966 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 21 | lost | -21 | 906 |
| 10.09.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Zero Tenacity | Noir Verse | 3.21 | 22 | lost | -22 | 927 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 22 | lost | -22 | 949 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 23 | lost | -23 | 971 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 22 | won | +44 | 994 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 21 | won | +44 | 950 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 20 | won | +42 | 905 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 18 | lost | -18 | 863 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 17 | won | +38 | 881 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 16 | won | +37 | 842 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 17 | lost | -17 | 805 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 17 | lost | -17 | 822 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 17 | lost | -17 | 839 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 18 | lost | -18 | 856 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 18 | lost | -18 | 874 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.53 | 18 | lost | -18 | 892 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 19 | lost | -19 | 911 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 19 | lost | -19 | 929 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | Nordic Partners | 3.06 | 20 | lost | -20 | 949 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 968 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 21 | lost | -21 | 988 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 3.08 | 20 | won | +42 | 1009 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.