Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-852u
ROI
-23.4%
win rate
24%
bets
79
drawdown
95.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-196u
period 6top-up-209u
period 5top-up-426u
period 4profit withdrawn+216u
period 3top-up-190u
period 2top-up-46u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 79 | 24% | -176 | -22.6% | 20.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 79 | 24% | -176 | -22.3% | 21% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 79 | 24% | -350 | -22.9% | 40.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 22% | -602 | -37.9% | 71.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 79 | 24% | -852 | -23.4% | 95.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 79 | 24% | -1588 | -23.9% | 171.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 79, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 36 | won | +77 | 148 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 38 | lost | -38 | 71 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 40 | lost | -40 | 109 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 35 | won | +106 | 150 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 37 | lost | -37 | 44 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 39 | lost | -39 | 81 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 41 | lost | -41 | 120 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 43 | lost | -43 | 161 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 38 | won | +91 | 204 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 4.14 | 40 | lost | -40 | 113 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 43 | lost | -43 | 153 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 45 | lost | -45 | 196 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 47 | lost | -47 | 241 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 50 | lost | -50 | 288 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | Nordic Partners | 3.22 | 52 | lost | -52 | 338 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 48 | won | +96 | 390 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 50 | lost | -50 | 294 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 42 | lost | -42 | 344 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | Refresher | 3.28 | 44 | lost | -44 | 386 |
| 29.09.26 | Villainous – LAG | Villainous | 3.13 | 46 | lost | -46 | 429 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 49 | lost | -49 | 475 |
| 27.09.26 | Marsborne – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.29 | 51 | lost | -51 | 524 |
| 26.09.26 | paiN – Galorys | paiN | 3.02 | 46 | won | +94 | 575 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 49 | lost | -49 | 481 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Babag | Babag | 3.10 | 51 | lost | -51 | 530 |
| 26.09.26 | Galorys – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 4.02 | 54 | lost | -54 | 582 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.09 | 57 | lost | -57 | 636 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 60 | lost | -60 | 693 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 54 | won | +116 | 753 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.44 | 48 | won | +118 | 637 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 44 | won | +89 | 519 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 46 | lost | -46 | 430 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 49 | lost | -49 | 476 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 3.08 | 51 | lost | -51 | 525 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | BET-M | 3.33 | 54 | lost | -54 | 576 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 57 | lost | -57 | 630 |
| 12.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Fortress | Fortress | 4.16 | 60 | lost | -60 | 687 |
| 12.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.28 | 63 | lost | -63 | 746 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 55 | won | +157 | 809 |
| 11.09.26 | Walczaki – ex-Zero Tenacity | Walczaki | 3.05 | 58 | lost | -58 | 652 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 61 | lost | -61 | 709 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 64 | lost | -64 | 770 |
| 03.09.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 3.03 | 58 | won | +118 | 834 |
| 03.09.26 | B8 – HOTU | B8 | 3.13 | 53 | won | +112 | 716 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.13 | 48 | won | +101 | 605 |
| 01.09.26 | Permitta – Bushido Wildcats | Permitta | 3.27 | 50 | lost | -50 | 503 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 30 | lost | -30 | 553 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 27 | won | +61 | 584 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 29 | lost | -29 | 523 |
| 29.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 3.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | 551 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 27 | won | +62 | 581 |
| 26.08.26 | Spirit – DENDELE | DENDELE | 3.36 | 28 | lost | -28 | 520 |
| 23.08.26 | ex-RUBY – illwill | illwill | 3.54 | 30 | lost | -30 | 548 |
| 22.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – illwill | illwill | 3.10 | 32 | lost | -32 | 578 |
| 21.08.26 | GenOne – HAVU | HAVU | 3.01 | 33 | lost | -33 | 610 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.06 | 35 | lost | -35 | 643 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.30 | 37 | lost | -37 | 678 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 39 | lost | -39 | 715 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 41 | lost | -41 | 753 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 3.06 | 43 | lost | -43 | 794 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.