Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
+1365u
ROI
+18.1%
win rate
46%
bets
249
drawdown
26.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Martingale
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+171u
period 3profit withdrawn+452u
period 2profit withdrawn+359u
period 1profit withdrawn+383u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 249 | 46% | +1365 | +18.1% | 26.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 46% | -150 | -6% | 22.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -157 | -6.4% | 23.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -325 | -6.9% | 46.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -877 | -8.1% | 115.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -1818 | -10.2% | 219.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort β OG | The Last Resort | 1.98 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2365 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo β ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2445 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2485 |
| 18.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2505 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods β Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 2515 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked β INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 20 | won | +34 | 2504 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE β WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2470 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA β 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 2480 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo β Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 2470 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves β MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 2457 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort β HonvΓ©d | HonvΓ©d | 2.10 | 40 | won | +44 | 2442 |
| 14.08.26 | B8 β Vitality | Vitality | 1.92 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2398 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux β GUESS | GUESS | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2418 |
| 13.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Bebop | Bebop | 1.96 | 20 | won | +19 | 2428 |
| 13.08.26 | Abyssal β Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2409 |
| 12.08.26 | G2 β M80 | G2 | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 2419 |
| 10.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves β MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2401 |
| 09.08.26 | UNiTY β Nexus | UNiTY | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 2411 |
| 09.08.26 | LFO 7 β Anteiku | LFO 7 | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 2400 |
| 09.08.26 | JiJieHao β DENDELE | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 20 | won | +20 | 2391 |
| 09.08.26 | INFINITE β 100 Thieves | INFINITE | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2371 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly β CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.05 | 80 | won | +84 | 2381 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul β 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2297 |
| 08.08.26 | SadFamous β Eternal Fire | SadFamous | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2337 |
| 08.08.26 | Sangal β Zeste | Zeste | 1.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2357 |
| 07.08.26 | MANGANESE β SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.13 | 20 | won | +23 | 2367 |
| 07.08.26 | z to forward β DUSTY | z to forward | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2344 |
| 07.08.26 | HEROIC β REM | HEROIC | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 2354 |
| 06.08.26 | eSuba β NAVI Junior | eSuba | 1.98 | 40 | won | +39 | 2345 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero β Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2306 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked β Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2326 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS β Leo | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.97 | 40 | won | +39 | 2336 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic β EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2297 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire β INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2317 |
| 04.08.26 | Sashi β Phantom | Sashi | 1.99 | 20 | won | +20 | 2327 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC β NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2307 |
| 04.08.26 | Finishers β Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 2317 |
| 03.08.26 | ex-MANA β MOUZ NXT | ex-MANA | 1.99 | 10 | won | +10 | 2308 |
| 03.08.26 | Johnny Speeds β Metizport | Johnny Speeds | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 2298 |
| 03.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS β Fire Flux | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 2289 |
| 02.08.26 | MIBR β BESTIA | MIBR | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 2279 |
| 02.08.26 | aimclub β Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 2268 |
| 02.08.26 | FAVBET β Misa | Misa | 2.09 | 20 | won | +22 | 2259 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2237 |
| 02.08.26 | SportsBetExpert β Marsborne | SportsBetExpert | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 2247 |
| 01.08.26 | MIBR β ShindeN | MIBR | 2.11 | 320 | won | +354 | 2238 |
| 01.08.26 | BC.Game β SINQU | SINQU | 1.90 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1884 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao β GenOne | JiJieHao | 2.60 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2044 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe β Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2124 |
| 01.08.26 | Marsborne β regain | regain | 1.92 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2164 |
| 01.08.26 | LAG β SportsBetExpert | LAG | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2184 |
| 31.07.26 | Lavked β megoshort | megoshort | 2.10 | 80 | won | +88 | 2194 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 β Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2106 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-Young Ninjas β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2146 |
| 31.07.26 | FaZe β The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2166 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS β BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 2176 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE β SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.18 | 160 | won | +188 | 2167 |
| 30.07.26 | SPARTA β NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1979 |
| 30.07.26 | GenOne β ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.26 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2059 |
| 30.07.26 | 1win β los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2099 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.