Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-41u
ROI
-1.6%
win rate
48%
bets
249
drawdown
17%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-118u
period 3profit withdrawn+91u
period 2profit withdrawn+86u
period 1top-up-100u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -41 | -1.6% | 17% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 48% | -48 | -1.9% | 17.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -70 | -1.4% | 29.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -99 | -0.8% | 62.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -131 | -0.5% | 93.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 228 | 49% | -205 | -2% | 62.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 9 | won | +8 | 959 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 951 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 9 | lost | -9 | 960 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 9 | won | +12 | 968 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 956 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 9 | lost | -9 | 965 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | Lavked | 1.97 | 9 | lost | -9 | 974 |
| 15.08.26 | JiJieHao – Aurora | JiJieHao | 1.98 | 9 | lost | -9 | 983 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – OG | OG | 2.00 | 9 | won | +9 | 992 |
| 15.08.26 | Bebop – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.89 | 9 | won | +8 | 983 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 9 | lost | -9 | 975 |
| 14.08.26 | B8 – Vitality | Vitality | 1.92 | 9 | lost | -9 | 984 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 993 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1003 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.02 | 9 | won | +9 | 1012 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1003 |
| 10.08.26 | Rooster – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.35 | 9 | won | +12 | 1012 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 999 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1009 |
| 09.08.26 | LFO 7 – Anteiku | LFO 7 | 1.89 | 9 | won | +8 | 1018 |
| 09.08.26 | INFINITE – 100 Thieves | INFINITE | 1.96 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1010 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1019 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1029 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1038 |
| 08.08.26 | REVENIX – levelONE | REVENIX | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1048 |
| 07.08.26 | Orion Wanderers – Sashi | Orion Wanderers | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1058 |
| 07.08.26 | z to forward – DUSTY | z to forward | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1068 |
| 07.08.26 | 1win – Citron | Citron | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1078 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1088 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1098 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1087 |
| 04.08.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1097 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1107 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1117 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Leo | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 10 | won | +10 | 1128 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 10 | won | +15 | 1118 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1104 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1114 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1125 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.23 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1135 |
| 03.08.26 | Voca – NRG | NRG | 1.97 | 11 | won | +10 | 1146 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 10 | won | +12 | 1136 |
| 02.08.26 | DragonClaw – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.92 | 10 | won | +10 | 1124 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1114 |
| 02.08.26 | DEPO – THE UNIT | DEPO | 1.93 | 10 | won | +10 | 1125 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1115 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1103 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 10 | won | +26 | 1113 |
| 01.08.26 | THE UNIT – Omega | THE UNIT | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1087 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1097 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO – RayRay | DEPO | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 1087 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1077 |
| 31.07.26 | BC.Game – Trainwrecks | Trainwrecks | 1.90 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1088 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1099 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 11 | won | +18 | 1110 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – G2 Ares | EAC | 1.91 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1092 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.92 | 11 | won | +10 | 1103 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1093 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 11 | won | +11 | 1104 |
| 30.07.26 | Black Phoenix – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 1.98 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1093 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.