Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-131u
ROI
-0.5%
win rate
48%
bets
249
drawdown
93.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
10% of bankroll
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-782u
period 3profit withdrawn+703u
period 2profit withdrawn+689u
period 1top-up-740u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -41 | -1.6% | 17% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 48% | -48 | -1.9% | 17.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -70 | -1.4% | 29.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -99 | -0.8% | 62.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 48% | -131 | -0.5% | 93.5% | Selected |
| Martingale | 228 | 49% | -205 | -2% | 62.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Metizport β Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 869 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy β PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 22 | lost | -22 | 851 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 25 | lost | -25 | 873 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity β ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 22 | won | +31 | 898 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides β ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 24 | lost | -24 | 867 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA β QUINTESSΓNCIA | QUINTESSΓNCIA | 1.96 | 27 | lost | -27 | 891 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC β Lavked | Lavked | 1.97 | 30 | lost | -30 | 918 |
| 15.08.26 | JiJieHao β Aurora | JiJieHao | 1.98 | 33 | lost | -33 | 947 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux β OG | OG | 2.00 | 30 | won | +30 | 980 |
| 15.08.26 | Bebop β HonvΓ©d | HonvΓ©d | 1.89 | 27 | won | +24 | 950 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai β UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 31 | lost | -31 | 926 |
| 14.08.26 | B8 β Vitality | Vitality | 1.92 | 34 | lost | -34 | 957 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 38 | lost | -38 | 991 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons β Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 42 | lost | -42 | 1028 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort β HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.02 | 38 | won | +39 | 1070 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons β K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 42 | lost | -42 | 1031 |
| 10.08.26 | Rooster β Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.35 | 37 | won | +50 | 1074 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC β fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1024 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO β Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 46 | lost | -46 | 1065 |
| 09.08.26 | LFO 7 β Anteiku | LFO 7 | 1.89 | 42 | won | +37 | 1111 |
| 09.08.26 | INFINITE β 100 Thieves | INFINITE | 1.96 | 47 | lost | -47 | 1073 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle β Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.67 | 52 | lost | -52 | 1120 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul β 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 58 | lost | -58 | 1173 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba β BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 64 | lost | -64 | 1230 |
| 08.08.26 | REVENIX β levelONE | REVENIX | 1.90 | 72 | lost | -72 | 1295 |
| 07.08.26 | Orion Wanderers β Sashi | Orion Wanderers | 2.25 | 79 | lost | -79 | 1366 |
| 07.08.26 | z to forward β DUSTY | z to forward | 1.90 | 88 | lost | -88 | 1446 |
| 07.08.26 | 1win β Citron | Citron | 2.19 | 98 | lost | -98 | 1534 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE β Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 109 | lost | -109 | 1632 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M β SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 98 | won | +113 | 1741 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero β Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 109 | lost | -109 | 1628 |
| 04.08.26 | Galorys β MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 1.96 | 121 | lost | -121 | 1737 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA β Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 134 | lost | -134 | 1857 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire β INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 149 | lost | -149 | 1991 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Leo | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 136 | won | +126 | 2140 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS β ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 119 | won | +171 | 2014 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC β NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 133 | lost | -133 | 1844 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos β BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 147 | lost | -147 | 1976 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne β UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 164 | lost | -164 | 2123 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus β ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.23 | 182 | lost | -182 | 2287 |
| 03.08.26 | Voca β NRG | NRG | 1.97 | 166 | won | +160 | 2469 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG β SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 149 | won | +170 | 2308 |
| 02.08.26 | DragonClaw β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.92 | 136 | won | +125 | 2139 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 151 | lost | -151 | 2014 |
| 02.08.26 | DEPO β THE UNIT | DEPO | 1.93 | 139 | won | +129 | 2165 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren β Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 124 | won | +144 | 2036 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies β The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 138 | lost | -138 | 1892 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS β INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 109 | won | +285 | 2030 |
| 01.08.26 | THE UNIT β Omega | THE UNIT | 2.07 | 122 | lost | -122 | 1745 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU β ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 110 | won | +116 | 1867 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO β RayRay | DEPO | 2.00 | 100 | won | +100 | 1751 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya β mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 189 | lost | -189 | 1651 |
| 31.07.26 | BC.Game β Trainwrecks | Trainwrecks | 1.90 | 210 | lost | -210 | 1840 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 β Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 234 | lost | -234 | 2051 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU β G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 200 | won | +334 | 2284 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC β G2 Ares | EAC | 1.91 | 222 | lost | -222 | 1951 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS β BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.92 | 204 | won | +187 | 2173 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX β MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 226 | lost | -226 | 1986 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO β BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 205 | won | +210 | 2213 |
| 30.07.26 | Black Phoenix β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 1.98 | 228 | lost | -228 | 2002 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.