Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-196u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
47%
bets
249
drawdown
30.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-139u
period 3profit withdrawn+13u
period 2profit withdrawn+53u
period 1top-up-124u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 47% | -82 | -3.3% | 14.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -90 | -3.6% | 15.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -196 | -3.9% | 30.4% | Selected |
| Martingale | 182 | 47% | -375 | -5.9% | 66.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -595 | -4.8% | 72.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -1439 | -6% | 131.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | FUT | 1.98 | 17 | won | +17 | 804 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 17 | lost | -17 | 787 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 18 | lost | -18 | 805 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 18 | lost | -18 | 822 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 18 | lost | -18 | 840 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 18 | won | +18 | 858 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 18 | won | +21 | 840 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 18 | lost | -18 | 819 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 18 | won | +18 | 837 |
| 15.08.26 | Noir Verse – Entropy | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 17 | won | +16 | 819 |
| 14.08.26 | eternal premium – Privateer | eternal premium | 1.96 | 17 | won | +16 | 803 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – BAKS | BAKS | 2.02 | 17 | won | +17 | 786 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 2.07 | 17 | lost | -17 | 770 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora – M80 | M80 | 2.15 | 17 | lost | -17 | 786 |
| 13.08.26 | ex-MANA – SAW Youngsters | ex-MANA | 1.94 | 17 | won | +16 | 804 |
| 12.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.24 | 17 | lost | -17 | 788 |
| 09.08.26 | UNO MILLE – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 2.04 | 17 | won | +18 | 805 |
| 09.08.26 | INFINITE – 100 Thieves | INFINITE | 1.96 | 17 | lost | -17 | 788 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – ASTRAL | HEROIC | 2.02 | 17 | won | +17 | 805 |
| 09.08.26 | K27 – SAW | SAW | 1.90 | 17 | lost | -17 | 788 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 18 | lost | -18 | 805 |
| 08.08.26 | LPH – Nexus | Nexus | 1.97 | 17 | won | +17 | 822 |
| 08.08.26 | INFINITE – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 2.04 | 18 | lost | -18 | 806 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 18 | lost | -18 | 823 |
| 08.08.26 | Partizan – Orion Wanderers | Partizan | 1.90 | 18 | won | +16 | 841 |
| 07.08.26 | Prestige – Metizport | Metizport | 1.90 | 17 | won | +16 | 826 |
| 07.08.26 | Walczaki – Black Phoenix | Walczaki | 2.07 | 18 | lost | -18 | 810 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | FKOMAR | 2.53 | 18 | lost | -18 | 828 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 18 | lost | -18 | 846 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 864 |
| 06.08.26 | Imperial – ALKA | ALKA | 2.14 | 19 | lost | -19 | 883 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 902 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 922 |
| 04.08.26 | Just Players – Enjoy | Just Players | 2.09 | 20 | won | +21 | 942 |
| 04.08.26 | Sashi – Phantom | Sashi | 1.94 | 19 | won | +18 | 920 |
| 04.08.26 | Finishers – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 1.96 | 19 | won | +18 | 902 |
| 04.08.26 | G2 Ares – Johnny Speeds | G2 Ares | 1.96 | 19 | lost | -19 | 884 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 903 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.23 | 20 | lost | -20 | 923 |
| 03.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Misa | MOUZ NXT | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 943 |
| 02.08.26 | ShindeN – BESTIA | ShindeN | 1.98 | 20 | lost | -20 | 925 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.76 | 19 | won | +34 | 945 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Mai Tai | 2.59 | 20 | lost | -20 | 911 |
| 02.08.26 | los kogutos – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.90 | 20 | lost | -20 | 931 |
| 01.08.26 | Fluxo – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.06 | 20 | won | +21 | 951 |
| 01.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 20 | lost | -20 | 930 |
| 01.08.26 | los kogutos – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.89 | 21 | lost | -21 | 950 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 21 | lost | -21 | 971 |
| 01.08.26 | Betclic – The Last Resort | Betclic | 2.25 | 20 | won | +26 | 992 |
| 01.08.26 | LP – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.18 | 20 | won | +24 | 966 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 943 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Vexar | ex-RUSTEC | 1.91 | 20 | won | +18 | 923 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-Young Ninjas – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 905 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 19 | won | +32 | 925 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU – BC.Game | HAVU | 1.99 | 20 | lost | -20 | 893 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 19 | won | +23 | 912 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | Lavked | 2.90 | 20 | lost | -20 | 890 |
| 30.07.26 | JiJieHao – Entropy | Entropy | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 909 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 2.75 | 19 | won | +34 | 929 |
| 30.07.26 | Butterfly – Atreides | Atreides | 2.24 | 20 | lost | -20 | 896 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.