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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-469u
ROI
-9.1%
win rate
43%
bets
545
drawdown
48.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-111u
period 6top-up-189u
period 5profit withdrawn+106u
period 4top-up-28u
period 3top-up-10u
period 2top-up-214u
period 1top-up-22u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll54543%-469-9.1%48.3%Select
Flat (10 units)54543%-498-9.1%51.1%Select
2% of bankroll54543%-884-9%89%Select
Martingale5141%-886-44.4%90.3%Select
5% of bankroll54543%-1867-8.6%175.9%Select
10% of bankroll54543%-3047-8%257.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 545, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.139lost-9531
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.989lost-9540
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.909lost-9549
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9558
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.999lost-9567
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.999lost-9577
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10586
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.129won+20596
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.979lost-9576
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.929won+9585
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.459lost-9577
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3810lost-10586
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9810lost-10596
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0110lost-10605
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+20615
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10595
09.10.26Zomblers – Desi BoyzZomblers1.8910won+9605
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.589won+15597
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.079won+10582
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.569lost-9572
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.919won+8581
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya1.979lost-9573
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.949won+18582
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.819won+16564
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.409lost-9548
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.409won+13557
07.10.26Ryvex – mellrenRyvex2.549lost-9544
07.10.26Leo – RyvexRyvex2.369lost-9553
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.119lost-9563
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.389won+13572
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.459lost-9559
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.299won+12569
06.10.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA1.979lost-9557
06.10.26G2 – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.489won+13566
05.10.26ShindeN – G2ShindeN1.939lost-9552
03.10.26NT – Lazer CatsNT2.159won+10562
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.419lost-9551
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.459lost-9560
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.269lost-9570
02.10.26BASEMENT BOYS – GlitchGlitch2.159lost-9579
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3010lost-10588
02.10.26Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2310lost-10598
02.10.26Voca – SashiSashi2.2710lost-10608
02.10.26UNiTY – aimclubaimclub2.0410lost-10617
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – SangalNinjas in Pyjamas2.0910lost-10627
02.10.26Astralis – FaZeAstralis1.9410won+9637
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4410lost-10628
01.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKECYBERSHOKE2.1510lost-10638
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7110won+17648
01.10.26Lavked – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT1.9710lost-10631
01.10.26SINQU – FamalicãoFamalicão1.9410won+9641
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2910lost-10632
30.09.26PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRESPRIVATE2.598lost-8642
29.09.26MAYBE – IllyriansMAYBE2.408won+11650
29.09.26WW – DNKDNK2.248won+10639
29.09.26Rune Eaters – DNKDNK2.178lost-8629
28.09.26Leo – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.218won+10637
28.09.26regain – LAGregain2.218lost-8627
28.09.26Marsborne – FarmVilleFarmVille2.848lost-8635
28.09.26Galorys – ProcyonProcyon2.778won+14643
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.