Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3657u
ROI
-11.4%
win rate
43%
bets
543
drawdown
288.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-463u
period 6top-up-886u
period 5top-up-126u
period 4top-up-858u
period 3top-up-445u
period 2top-up-900u
period 1profit withdrawn+21u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -454 | -8.9% | 57.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 43% | -460 | -8.5% | 58.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 45 | 51% | -871 | -47% | 89.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -893 | -9.2% | 104.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -2089 | -10.2% | 206.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 43% | -3657 | -11.4% | 288.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 47 | won | +67 | -2657 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 52 | lost | -52 | -2724 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 58 | lost | -58 | -2671 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 65 | lost | -65 | -2613 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 72 | lost | -72 | -2549 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 59 | won | +125 | -2477 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 52 | won | +75 | -2602 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.92 | 47 | won | +44 | -2677 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 53 | lost | -53 | -2721 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.63 | 45 | won | +74 | -2668 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 50 | lost | -50 | -2742 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 45 | won | +49 | -2692 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 38 | won | +78 | -2740 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 42 | lost | -42 | -2818 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 37 | won | +45 | -2777 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | Saint Sinners | 2.54 | 32 | won | +50 | -2821 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 29 | won | +31 | -2871 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | EAC | 2.12 | 32 | lost | -32 | -2902 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 30 | won | +27 | -2870 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.19 | 33 | lost | -33 | -2897 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 37 | lost | -37 | -2864 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 31 | won | +56 | -2827 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.07 | 28 | won | +30 | -2884 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 25 | won | +34 | -2914 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2948 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 24 | won | +31 | -2921 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2952 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2925 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.96 | 33 | lost | -33 | -2895 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 37 | lost | -37 | -2862 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 1.97 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2825 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 36 | won | +53 | -2784 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | ShindeN | 1.93 | 40 | lost | -40 | -2837 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 36 | won | +41 | -2797 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 40 | lost | -40 | -2838 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2798 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 49 | lost | -49 | -2755 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | Sashi | 2.12 | 54 | lost | -54 | -2706 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 60 | lost | -60 | -2651 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 67 | lost | -67 | -2591 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 74 | lost | -74 | -2524 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 83 | lost | -83 | -2450 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 92 | lost | -92 | -2367 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | Astralis | 1.94 | 84 | won | +79 | -2275 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 93 | lost | -93 | -2354 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 104 | lost | -104 | -2260 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 89 | won | +151 | -2156 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.97 | 98 | lost | -98 | -2308 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | Famalicão | 1.94 | 90 | won | +85 | -2209 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 100 | lost | -100 | -2294 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.45 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2194 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 11 | won | +16 | -2182 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | -2197 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2209 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | -2198 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2207 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2196 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 11 | won | +19 | -2184 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | KUUSAMO | 1.96 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2203 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | INFINITE | 1.95 | 11 | won | +10 | -2191 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.