Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1985u
ROI
-9.5%
win rate
45%
bets
251
drawdown
171.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-700u
period 3top-up-202u
period 2top-up-437u
period 1top-up-645u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 251 | 45% | -168 | -6.7% | 23.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 251 | 45% | -174 | -7% | 24% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 251 | 45% | -359 | -7.3% | 46.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 79 | 43% | -682 | -17% | 76.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 251 | 45% | -959 | -8.2% | 102.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 251 | 45% | -1985 | -9.5% | 171.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 251, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 26 | won | +38 | -985 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 23 | won | +27 | -1023 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1050 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1024 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 32 | lost | -32 | -995 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 29 | won | +30 | -962 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 27 | won | +26 | -993 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | Misa | 1.99 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1019 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.58 | 33 | lost | -33 | -989 |
| 15.08.26 | Wildcard – paiN | paiN | 1.93 | 30 | won | +28 | -956 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 26 | won | +38 | -984 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1022 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 32 | lost | -32 | -993 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 36 | lost | -36 | -961 |
| 13.08.26 | Subtop De France – Vexar | Subtop De France | 2.38 | 40 | lost | -40 | -925 |
| 13.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.12 | 44 | lost | -44 | -885 |
| 12.08.26 | train launcher – benched gods | benched gods | 1.97 | 40 | won | +39 | -841 |
| 12.08.26 | DONSTU – FORZE Reload | DONSTU | 2.10 | 45 | lost | -45 | -880 |
| 09.08.26 | Sashi – BIG | BIG | 2.14 | 40 | won | +46 | -835 |
| 09.08.26 | JiJieHao – DENDELE | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 37 | won | +36 | -881 |
| 09.08.26 | K27 – SAW | SAW | 1.90 | 41 | lost | -41 | -918 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.68 | 45 | lost | -45 | -877 |
| 08.08.26 | Fluxo – DUSTY | DUSTY | 2.23 | 50 | lost | -50 | -832 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 56 | lost | -56 | -781 |
| 08.08.26 | levelONE – Phantom | levelONE | 2.14 | 62 | lost | -62 | -725 |
| 08.08.26 | Liquid – Metizport | Metizport | 1.98 | 69 | lost | -69 | -663 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 77 | lost | -77 | -594 |
| 07.08.26 | REM – ABT | ABT | 1.89 | 70 | won | +63 | -518 |
| 07.08.26 | Giant Pandas – Betclic | Giant Pandas | 2.17 | 78 | lost | -78 | -580 |
| 07.08.26 | Galorys – BORRACHEIROS | Galorys | 1.93 | 72 | won | +66 | -502 |
| 05.08.26 | UNO MILLE – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 1.95 | 80 | lost | -80 | -568 |
| 05.08.26 | MAYBE – eSuba | MAYBE | 1.91 | 73 | won | +66 | -489 |
| 05.08.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.98 | 66 | won | +65 | -555 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 58 | won | +83 | -620 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.65 | 65 | lost | -65 | -703 |
| 04.08.26 | Acend – Betclic | Betclic | 2.17 | 58 | won | +67 | -639 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Procyon | 2.58 | 64 | lost | -64 | -706 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 71 | lost | -71 | -642 |
| 03.08.26 | ex-MANA – MOUZ NXT | ex-MANA | 1.99 | 65 | won | +64 | -570 |
| 03.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Fire Flux | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.95 | 59 | won | +56 | -635 |
| 03.08.26 | Lilmix – Johnny Speeds | Lilmix | 2.47 | 66 | lost | -66 | -691 |
| 03.08.26 | Rooster – Finishers | Finishers | 2.06 | 73 | lost | -73 | -625 |
| 02.08.26 | Sashi – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.35 | 81 | lost | -81 | -552 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | Lazer Cats | 2.62 | 90 | lost | -90 | -471 |
| 02.08.26 | SINNERS – SPARTA | SINNERS | 2.23 | 80 | won | +99 | -380 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – ex-1win | Lazer Cats | 1.95 | 74 | won | +70 | -480 |
| 01.08.26 | The Last Resort – Betclic | Betclic | 2.20 | 66 | won | +79 | -549 |
| 01.08.26 | SPARTA – Rune Eaters | SPARTA | 1.97 | 73 | lost | -73 | -628 |
| 01.08.26 | RayRay – ALTAY | ALTAY | 1.96 | 81 | lost | -81 | -555 |
| 01.08.26 | ENCE – HAVU | HAVU | 2.22 | 90 | lost | -90 | -474 |
| 01.08.26 | Omega – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.26 | 100 | lost | -100 | -384 |
| 31.07.26 | paiN – Astralis | Astralis | 1.91 | 73 | won | +67 | -284 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | EAC | 2.66 | 63 | won | +104 | -351 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | SINNERS | 2.78 | 53 | won | +95 | -455 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU – BC.Game | HAVU | 1.99 | 59 | lost | -59 | -550 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – G2 Ares | EAC | 1.91 | 66 | lost | -66 | -491 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | Lavked | 2.84 | 73 | lost | -73 | -425 |
| 31.07.26 | Atreides – Honvéd | Atreides | 2.16 | 81 | lost | -81 | -352 |
| 30.07.26 | Just Players – Atreides | Atreides | 2.46 | 90 | lost | -90 | -271 |
| 30.07.26 | Rune Eaters – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.13 | 100 | lost | -100 | -181 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.