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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-748u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
43%
bets
544
drawdown
98.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+86u
period 6top-up-266u
period 5profit withdrawn+59u
period 4top-up-278u
period 3top-up-70u
period 2top-up-305u
period 1profit withdrawn+26u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll54443%-382-7.4%53.3%Select
Flat (10 units)54443%-389-7.1%54.4%Select
2% of bankroll54443%-748-7.7%98.5%Select
Martingale4551%-871-47%89.2%Select
5% of bankroll54443%-1740-8.3%196.2%Select
10% of bankroll54443%-3086-9%279.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 544, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9822lost-22252
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4122won+30274
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1122lost-22243
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1122lost-22265
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9923lost-23288
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6123lost-23311
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1222won+47334
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4522won+32287
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5522lost-22255
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1022won+24277
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0121won+22253
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9021won+19232
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0121lost-21213
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0821won+43234
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8920won+37192
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2019won+23154
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5819won+30131
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0718won+20102
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4319lost-1982
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3219lost-19101
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8118won+33120
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0418won+1987
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5518lost-1868
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.4019lost-1986
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4018won+26105
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.3617won+4179
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.2917won+2238
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.1117lost-1716
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.5418lost-1834
07.10.26G2 Ares – Falcons ForceFalcons Force1.9618lost-1851
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2918won+2369
06.10.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA1.9718lost-1847
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4117won+2565
05.10.26PARIVISION – FURIAPARIVISION2.3218lost-1840
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.2718lost-1858
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.4119lost-1976
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.4519lost-1995
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.2619lost-19114
02.10.26BC.Game – SashiSashi2.1220lost-20133
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3020lost-20153
02.10.26Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2321lost-21173
02.10.26HAVU – BBLHAVU2.4821lost-21193
02.10.26Fire Flux – benched godsbenched gods2.1521lost-21214
02.10.26BBL – SportsBetExpertBBL3.0221won+42236
02.10.26Astralis – FaZeAstralis1.9420won+19194
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4421lost-21175
01.10.26FaZe – NemigaFaZe3.9821lost-21196
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7120won+35217
01.10.26HOTU – NemesisNemesis1.9020won+18182
01.10.26SINQU – FamalicãoFamalicão1.9420won+18164
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2920lost-20146
30.09.26Leo – mellrenLeo2.1515lost-15166
29.09.26MASONIC – EnjoyMASONIC2.4015won+20181
29.09.26WW – DNKDNK2.2414won+18160
29.09.26DEPO – PAQTPAQT2.3614won+19143
28.09.26Leo – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.2114won+16124
28.09.26Marsborne – FarmVilleFarmVille2.8414lost-14107
28.09.26regain – LAGregain2.2114lost-14121
28.09.26Galorys – ProcyonProcyon2.7714won+24135
27.09.26Fluxo – SAWSAW2.8313won+24111
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.