Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
+445u
ROI
+8.6%
win rate
53%
bets
249
drawdown
19.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-195u
period 3profit withdrawn+406u
period 2profit withdrawn+158u
period 1profit withdrawn+76u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | +3015 | +10.2% | 60.9% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | +1287 | +9.4% | 38.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | +445 | +8.6% | 19.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | +210 | +8.3% | 11% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 53% | +198 | +7.9% | 10.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 133 | 53% | -463 | -11.7% | 68.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 16 | lost | -16 | 1445 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 17 | lost | -17 | 1461 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 17 | lost | -17 | 1478 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 17 | lost | -17 | 1495 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1513 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1530 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 18 | won | +17 | 1549 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 17 | won | +20 | 1532 |
| 15.08.26 | Wildcard – paiN | paiN | 1.93 | 17 | won | +16 | 1512 |
| 15.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – QUINTESSÊNCIA | Pugdesonesto | 1.95 | 17 | lost | -17 | 1496 |
| 14.08.26 | B8 – Vitality | Vitality | 1.92 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1513 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 17 | won | +20 | 1531 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1511 |
| 13.08.26 | BIG – G2 | G2 | 2.16 | 17 | won | +20 | 1529 |
| 13.08.26 | ex-MANA – SAW Youngsters | ex-MANA | 1.94 | 17 | won | +16 | 1509 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 17 | lost | -17 | 1493 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1510 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 17 | won | +20 | 1528 |
| 09.08.26 | 1win – Liquid | Liquid | 1.95 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1508 |
| 09.08.26 | Eternal Fire – BIG | BIG | 1.98 | 17 | won | +17 | 1526 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.68 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1509 |
| 08.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.28 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1526 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1544 |
| 08.08.26 | Partizan – Orion Wanderers | Partizan | 1.90 | 18 | won | +16 | 1563 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1547 |
| 07.08.26 | BET-M – ex-RUSTEC | BET-M | 2.46 | 18 | won | +26 | 1565 |
| 07.08.26 | Jam – LPH | LPH | 1.96 | 18 | lost | -18 | 1539 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 2.98 | 19 | lost | -19 | 1557 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 1576 |
| 06.08.26 | Sashi – Nuclear TigeRES | Sashi | 1.89 | 19 | lost | -19 | 1595 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1614 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1634 |
| 04.08.26 | UNO MILLE – ALKA | ALKA | 1.91 | 20 | won | +18 | 1655 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1636 |
| 04.08.26 | Rooster – FURY | FURY | 2.05 | 21 | lost | -21 | 1657 |
| 04.08.26 | Finishers – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 1.96 | 20 | won | +20 | 1678 |
| 04.08.26 | Grêmio – paiN Academy | Grêmio | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1658 |
| 03.08.26 | WBT – Leo | Leo | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 1640 |
| 03.08.26 | SPARTA – ex-Young Ninjas | SPARTA | 1.98 | 19 | won | +19 | 1622 |
| 03.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Misa | MOUZ NXT | 1.89 | 19 | won | +17 | 1603 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYS | Mai Tai | 2.44 | 19 | lost | -19 | 1586 |
| 02.08.26 | Fortress – los kogutos | Fortress | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1606 |
| 02.08.26 | SINNERS – SPARTA | SINNERS | 2.23 | 19 | won | +24 | 1625 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – Vexar | Vexar | 2.04 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1602 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 19 | won | +22 | 1621 |
| 01.08.26 | ENCE – BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.94 | 19 | won | +18 | 1599 |
| 01.08.26 | los kogutos – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.89 | 19 | lost | -19 | 1581 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe – Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1601 |
| 01.08.26 | RayRay – ALTAY | ALTAY | 1.96 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1620 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 28 | won | +28 | 1640 |
| 31.07.26 | Fluxo – Imperial | Fluxo | 1.91 | 27 | won | +25 | 1612 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-Young Ninjas – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | 1588 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – Trainwrecks | ROUNDS | 1.98 | 28 | lost | -28 | 1615 |
| 31.07.26 | XCLAN – EAC | EAC | 2.02 | 28 | won | +28 | 1644 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | SINNERS | 2.77 | 27 | won | +47 | 1615 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 26 | won | +31 | 1568 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 27 | lost | -27 | 1537 |
| 30.07.26 | ENCE – SINQU | ENCE | 1.95 | 26 | won | +25 | 1564 |
| 30.07.26 | ENCE – BOJONG | ENCE | 1.96 | 26 | won | +25 | 1539 |
| 30.07.26 | Iowa Stormboar – LAG | LAG | 2.03 | 25 | won | +26 | 1515 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.