Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-469u
ROI
-4.1%
win rate
46%
bets
618
drawdown
61.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-534u
period 3profit withdrawn+63u
period 2top-up-155u
period 1profit withdrawn+157u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -261 | -4.4% | 38.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 618 | 46% | -297 | -4.8% | 41.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -469 | -4.1% | 61.6% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -991 | -3.8% | 99.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 49 | 53% | -1000 | -52.6% | 100% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -1978 | -4.4% | 142.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 618, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 531 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | Lavked | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 540 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 550 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 542 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 551 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 9 | won | +9 | 542 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 533 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 543 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 10 | won | +11 | 552 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 541 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 9 | won | +11 | 551 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 539 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 549 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 559 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 569 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 579 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 11 | lost | -11 | 590 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 11 | lost | -11 | 601 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 11 | lost | -11 | 611 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 11 | lost | -11 | 623 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 11 | won | +16 | 634 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 11 | lost | -11 | 618 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 12 | lost | -12 | 630 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 12 | lost | -12 | 641 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 12 | lost | -12 | 653 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 12 | lost | -12 | 665 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 12 | lost | -12 | 677 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 12 | won | +14 | 690 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 12 | lost | -12 | 675 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 13 | lost | -13 | 688 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 12 | won | +12 | 700 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 13 | lost | -13 | 689 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 13 | lost | -13 | 701 |
| 15.08.26 | EAC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.96 | 13 | lost | -13 | 714 |
| 15.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Galorys | Keyd Stars | 1.92 | 13 | won | +12 | 728 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 13 | won | +14 | 716 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.98 | 12 | won | +12 | 701 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 13 | lost | -13 | 689 |
| 15.08.26 | Wildcard – paiN | paiN | 1.93 | 12 | won | +12 | 702 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 12 | won | +13 | 690 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 12 | won | +18 | 677 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 12 | lost | -12 | 659 |
| 15.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – QUINTESSÊNCIA | Pugdesonesto | 1.95 | 12 | lost | -12 | 671 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Phantom Academy | SINQU | 1.98 | 12 | won | +12 | 684 |
| 14.08.26 | Just Players – ENCE | ENCE | 1.95 | 12 | won | +11 | 672 |
| 14.08.26 | B8 – Vitality | Vitality | 1.92 | 12 | lost | -12 | 661 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 12 | won | +13 | 673 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 12 | won | +13 | 660 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 11 | won | +18 | 647 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.13 | 11 | won | +12 | 629 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 11 | lost | -11 | 617 |
| 13.08.26 | BIG – G2 | G2 | 2.16 | 11 | won | +13 | 628 |
| 13.08.26 | ex-MANA – SAW Youngsters | ex-MANA | 1.94 | 11 | won | +10 | 615 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 10 | won | +17 | 605 |
| 12.08.26 | MIBR – Astralis | Astralis | 2.14 | 10 | won | +12 | 588 |
| 12.08.26 | los kogutos – BERG | los kogutos | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 577 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 566 |
| 12.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 576 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.63 | 11 | lost | -11 | 586 |
| 10.08.26 | paiN Academy – Keyd Stars | paiN Academy | 2.08 | 11 | lost | -11 | 597 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.