Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3221u
ROI
-10.3%
win rate
45%
bets
621
drawdown
331.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-781u
period 3top-up-612u
period 2top-up-887u
period 1top-up-940u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 621 | 45% | -405 | -6.9% | 46.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 621 | 45% | -405 | -6.5% | 49% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 621 | 45% | -806 | -7.2% | 90.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 145 | 42% | -1071 | -14.6% | 104.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 621 | 45% | -1916 | -8.3% | 206.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 621 | 45% | -3221 | -10.3% | 331.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 621, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | Lavked | 1.94 | 24 | lost | -24 | -2221 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 21 | won | +31 | -2197 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 19 | won | +22 | -2228 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 21 | lost | -21 | -2249 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 23 | lost | -23 | -2228 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 21 | won | +22 | -2205 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | -2226 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 17 | won | +30 | -2244 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.14 | 15 | won | +17 | -2274 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.77 | 13 | won | +22 | -2291 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2314 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2300 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2284 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – ex-Sashi Academy | Misa | 1.98 | 19 | lost | -19 | -2267 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | HAVU | 1.96 | 18 | won | +17 | -2248 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.97 | 19 | lost | -19 | -2264 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 22 | lost | -22 | -2245 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 20 | won | +19 | -2223 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 17 | won | +23 | -2242 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 19 | lost | -19 | -2265 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 22 | lost | -22 | -2245 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 24 | lost | -24 | -2224 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2200 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.89 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2173 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 25 | won | +42 | -2144 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 23 | won | +24 | -2186 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 26 | lost | -26 | -2210 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.95 | 23 | won | +22 | -2184 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 26 | lost | -26 | -2207 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 24 | won | +23 | -2181 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 22 | won | +20 | -2204 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | Misa | 1.99 | 24 | lost | -24 | -2224 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2200 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.58 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2173 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | BESTIA | 1.95 | 33 | lost | -33 | -2143 |
| 15.08.26 | eternal premium – Revise | eternal premium | 2.04 | 37 | lost | -37 | -2110 |
| 15.08.26 | magic – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.49 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2074 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 45 | lost | -45 | -2033 |
| 15.08.26 | Wildcard – paiN | paiN | 1.93 | 41 | won | +38 | -1988 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 36 | won | +48 | -2026 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | Atreides | 2.39 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2075 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 35 | won | +52 | -2034 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.48 | 31 | won | +46 | -2086 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Phantom Academy | SINQU | 1.98 | 28 | won | +28 | -2132 |
| 14.08.26 | K27 – MIBR | MIBR | 2.00 | 26 | won | +25 | -2159 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2185 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2156 |
| 14.08.26 | Phantom Academy – Revise | Revise | 1.96 | 29 | won | +28 | -2125 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 32 | lost | -32 | -2152 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 28 | won | +43 | -2121 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2163 |
| 14.08.26 | TYLOO – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 1.99 | 28 | won | +28 | -2133 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2160 |
| 13.08.26 | Subtop De France – Vexar | Subtop De France | 2.38 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2129 |
| 13.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.12 | 38 | lost | -38 | -2095 |
| 12.08.26 | train launcher – benched gods | benched gods | 1.97 | 35 | won | +34 | -2056 |
| 12.08.26 | PARIVISION – B8 | B8 | 1.93 | 32 | won | +30 | -2090 |
| 12.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Legacy | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.92 | 35 | lost | -35 | -2120 |
| 12.08.26 | magic – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.12 | 32 | won | +36 | -2085 |
| 12.08.26 | DONSTU – FORZE Reload | DONSTU | 2.10 | 35 | lost | -35 | -2121 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.