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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1190u
ROI
-4.7%
win rate
45%
bets
1374
drawdown
124.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-85u
period 6top-up-224u
period 5profit withdrawn+7u
period 4top-up-298u
period 3top-up-317u
period 2top-up-313u
period 1profit withdrawn+39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137445%-543-4%63.9%Select
1% of bankroll137445%-574-4.3%65.9%Select
Martingale8748%-735-25.1%80.3%Select
2% of bankroll137445%-1190-4.7%124.3%Select
5% of bankroll137445%-3016-5.9%244.5%Select
10% of bankroll137445%-5097-7.7%293.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9819lost-19-190
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5719lost-19-171
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4219lost-19-152
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4119won+27-133
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0119lost-19-159
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2919won+24-140
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1119lost-19-164
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0419won+19-145
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1119lost-19-165
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9920lost-20-145
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9620lost-20-126
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9620won+19-106
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6120lost-20-125
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1219won+41-105
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6420lost-20-145
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4519won+28-126
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9719lost-19-153
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5520lost-20-134
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1019won+21-114
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1520lost-20-136
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1320lost-20-116
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0921lost-21-96
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1020won+22-75
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5121lost-21-97
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7021lost-21-76
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0121won+21-55
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3821lost-21-76
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9821lost-21-55
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9021won+19-34
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2921lost-21-53
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.6121won+34-31
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3421lost-21-65
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0122lost-22-44
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1322lost-22-22
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2422won+270
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7022lost-22-27
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0821won+44-5
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8920won+39-48
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2020won+24-87
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2919won+25-111
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9620lost-20-136
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9919won+19-116
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5819won+30-135
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixSINNERS1.9719lost-19-165
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0719won+20-146
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5619lost-19-166
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4320lost-20-147
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3220lost-20-127
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSbLight blue1.9420lost-20-107
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9120won+18-87
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8119won+35-105
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5019won+28-140
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0518won+19-168
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1919lost-19-187
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0218won+19-169
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9319lost-19-187
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0719lost-19-169
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9019won+17-150
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0418won+19-167
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5519lost-19-186
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.