Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-2025u
ROI
-8.7%
win rate
43%
bets
2827
drawdown
199.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-395u
period 6top-up-483u
period 5top-up-379u
period 4top-up-156u
period 3top-up-169u
period 2top-up-341u
period 1top-up-102u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 133 | 45% | -652 | -13.3% | 75.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2827 | 43% | -2025 | -8.7% | 199.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2827 | 43% | -2354 | -8.3% | 231.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2827 | 43% | -3481 | -9% | 330% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2827 | 43% | -5725 | -9.7% | 492% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2827 | 43% | -6727 | -9.7% | 507% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2827, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.64 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1025 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 6 | won | +6 | -1019 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | PCIFIC | 1.92 | 6 | won | +5 | -1025 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1031 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1024 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 1.93 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1018 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1012 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 6 | won | +10 | -1006 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 6 | won | +6 | -1016 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 6 | won | +8 | -1023 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1031 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 6 | won | +7 | -1025 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1032 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1026 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 6 | won | +8 | -1019 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1027 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1021 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Liquid | Liquid | 2.04 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1015 |
| 13.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – Martians | Martians | 1.90 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1009 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 6 | won | +6 | -1002 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1009 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 6 | lost | -6 | -1003 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 6 | lost | -6 | -996 |
| 13.10.26 | Chicken Coop – Zomblers | Chicken Coop | 1.96 | 6 | won | +6 | -990 |
| 13.10.26 | Galorys – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 2.26 | 6 | lost | -6 | -996 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | -990 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | -983 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | -977 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 7 | lost | -7 | -970 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 7 | lost | -7 | -963 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Inner Circle | 1.99 | 7 | lost | -7 | -957 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 7 | lost | -7 | -950 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.04 | 7 | lost | -7 | -943 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | -936 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 7 | lost | -7 | -943 |
| 12.10.26 | Rooster – LFO 8 | LFO 8 | 2.04 | 7 | lost | -7 | -936 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 7 | lost | -7 | -929 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 7 | lost | -7 | -922 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 7 | lost | -7 | -915 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 7 | won | +15 | -908 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 7 | lost | -7 | -923 |
| 11.10.26 | BET-M – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 1.91 | 7 | won | +6 | -916 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 7 | won | +8 | -922 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 7 | won | +10 | -930 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 7 | lost | -7 | -940 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 7 | lost | -7 | -933 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 7 | lost | -7 | -926 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 7 | lost | -7 | -919 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 7 | won | +11 | -912 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 7 | lost | -7 | -923 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 7 | won | +8 | -916 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 7 | lost | -7 | -924 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 7 | lost | -7 | -917 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 7 | won | +9 | -909 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | Wanted Goons | 2.25 | 7 | lost | -7 | -918 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 7 | lost | -7 | -911 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 7 | lost | -7 | -904 |
| 11.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Yawara | ex-Keyd Stars | 1.95 | 7 | won | +7 | -897 |
| 11.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – LP | LP | 1.91 | 7 | won | +7 | -903 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Wildcard | Wildcard | 1.92 | 7 | won | +7 | -910 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.