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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2038u
ROI
-8.8%
win rate
43%
bets
2824
drawdown
196.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-309u
period 6top-up-375u
period 5top-up-305u
period 4top-up-296u
period 3top-up-294u
period 2top-up-430u
period 1top-up-29u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13348%-552-11.4%70.3%Select
1% of bankroll282443%-2038-8.8%196.5%Select
Flat (10 units)282443%-2330-8.3%224%Select
2% of bankroll282443%-3530-9.2%318.9%Select
5% of bankroll282443%-5713-9.8%432.7%Select
10% of bankroll282443%-6518-9.1%389%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.987lost-7-1038
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-1031
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.427lost-7-1024
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-1017
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+12-1010
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.057won+7-1021
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.417won+10-1029
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-1039
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+8-1032
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-1039
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-1032
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-1025
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.117lost-7-1034
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-1027
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.167lost-7-1020
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.307lost-7-1013
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-1006
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.997lost-7-1013
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-1006
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-999
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.957lost-7-991
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.188lost-8-984
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.018lost-8-976
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.698lost-8-969
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.098lost-8-961
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.688lost-8-953
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.188won+9-945
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.458lost-8-954
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.998lost-8-947
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.078won+8-939
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.028won+8-947
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.548lost-8-955
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.068won+8-947
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.968lost-8-955
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.968won+7-947
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.618lost-8-955
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.128won+16-947
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.408lost-8-963
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.918won+7-956
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.648lost-8-963
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.458won+11-955
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.978lost-8-966
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.528lost-8-958
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.908lost-8-950
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.318lost-8-943
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.548won+12-935
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.558lost-8-947
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.148won+9-939
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.078lost-8-948
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.148lost-8-940
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.208lost-8-932
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.248won+10-924
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.078won+8-934
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.148lost-8-942
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.108won+9-934
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.848lost-8-943
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.928won+7-935
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.028won+8-942
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.968lost-8-950
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.838lost-8-942
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.