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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1903u
ROI
-8.2%
win rate
43%
bets
2825
drawdown
186.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-400u
period 6top-up-510u
period 5top-up-387u
period 4top-up-142u
period 3top-up-145u
period 2top-up-255u
period 1top-up-64u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13346%-536-12%69.3%Select
1% of bankroll282543%-1903-8.2%186.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282543%-2221-7.9%216.5%Select
2% of bankroll282543%-3276-8.5%307.5%Select
5% of bankroll282543%-5485-9.2%460.7%Select
10% of bankroll282543%-6600-10%478.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2825, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.136lost-6-903
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.986lost-6-897
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-891
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.936lost-6-885
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-879
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+10-872
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+9-883
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.906lost-6-891
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-885
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+7-879
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-886
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-879
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+8-873
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-881
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-875
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.046lost-6-869
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.906lost-6-862
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+7-856
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-862
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.997lost-7-856
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-849
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.957lost-7-843
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-836
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-829
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-822
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-816
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-809
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.187won+8-802
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-810
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.997lost-7-803
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.077won+7-796
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-803
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.557lost-7-810
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+7-803
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.967lost-7-811
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.187lost-7-804
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-796
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-789
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-804
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-797
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.207won+8-790
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.977lost-7-798
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+10-791
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-801
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-794
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-787
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-780
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.927won+6-791
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-797
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-805
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-798
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-791
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+8-784
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-792
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.817lost-7-800
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.847lost-7-793
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.957won+7-786
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.927won+7-793
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+7-799
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.967lost-7-806
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.