?

Always the underdog

CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
+0u
ROI
+0%
win rate
0%
bets
0
drawdown
0%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

Quarter Kelly

πŸ”
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β€” this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Selected
Martingale38248%-73-0.5%62.1%Select
Flat (10 units)124546%-550-4.4%62.7%Select
1% of bankroll124546%-560-4.9%59.7%Select
2% of bankroll124546%-1121-5.4%114.4%Select
5% of bankroll124546%-2581-7%253.8%Select
10% of bankroll124546%-3768-9.4%354.7%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 0, showing the last 60.

This strategy places no bets in the selected sample.

Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected βœ“
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.