Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-560u
ROI
-4.9%
win rate
46%
bets
1245
drawdown
59.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-181u
period 3top-up-29u
period 2top-up-218u
period 1top-up-132u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 382 | 48% | -73 | -0.5% | 62.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1245 | 46% | -550 | -4.4% | 62.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -560 | -4.9% | 59.7% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -1121 | -5.4% | 114.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -2581 | -7% | 253.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -3768 | -9.4% | 354.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1245, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | 440 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 8 | won | +12 | 448 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 8 | lost | -8 | 436 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 8 | lost | -8 | 445 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 8 | won | +8 | 453 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | Lavked | 1.95 | 8 | lost | -8 | 444 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 8 | won | +7 | 453 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 8 | won | +8 | 445 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 8 | lost | -8 | 438 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 8 | won | +8 | 446 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 8 | won | +8 | 437 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 8 | won | +7 | 429 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 8 | lost | -8 | 422 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 430 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 8 | won | +9 | 438 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 8 | lost | -8 | 429 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 8 | won | +10 | 437 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 427 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 8 | lost | -8 | 435 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | 444 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 8 | lost | -8 | 452 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 8 | won | +9 | 460 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 8 | lost | -8 | 452 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 8 | won | +8 | 460 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 8 | won | +14 | 452 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 8 | won | +8 | 439 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 431 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 8 | lost | -8 | 439 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 447 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 8 | lost | -8 | 456 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 9 | lost | -9 | 464 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 8 | won | +11 | 473 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 8 | lost | -8 | 462 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 8 | won | +12 | 470 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 8 | lost | -8 | 458 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 467 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 9 | lost | -9 | 475 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 9 | won | +9 | 484 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons – Fire Flux | Raccoons | 1.89 | 8 | won | +8 | 475 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 9 | lost | -9 | 467 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 9 | lost | -9 | 476 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 9 | lost | -9 | 485 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 9 | lost | -9 | 493 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 9 | won | +10 | 502 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 492 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 9 | won | +8 | 501 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 9 | won | +8 | 492 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.95 | 9 | lost | -9 | 484 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 1.94 | 9 | lost | -9 | 493 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 9 | lost | -9 | 502 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 9 | won | +11 | 511 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | 500 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 509 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 9 | won | +8 | 518 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 9 | lost | -9 | 510 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 9 | lost | -9 | 519 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 528 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 9 | lost | -9 | 537 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | BESTIA | 1.96 | 9 | lost | -9 | 546 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 9 | lost | -9 | 555 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.