Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3768u
ROI
-9.4%
win rate
46%
bets
1245
drawdown
354.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-968u
period 3top-up-887u
period 2top-up-979u
period 1top-up-934u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 382 | 48% | -73 | -0.5% | 62.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1245 | 46% | -550 | -4.4% | 62.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -560 | -4.9% | 59.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -1121 | -5.4% | 114.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -2581 | -7% | 253.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -3768 | -9.4% | 354.7% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1245, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2768 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 3 | won | +4 | -2765 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 3 | lost | -3 | -2769 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2766 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 3 | won | +4 | -2762 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | Lavked | 1.95 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2765 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 4 | won | +3 | -2762 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 3 | won | +3 | -2765 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2768 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 3 | won | +3 | -2764 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 3 | won | +3 | -2767 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 3 | won | +2 | -2770 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 3 | lost | -3 | -2773 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 3 | lost | -3 | -2770 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 3 | won | +3 | -2767 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 3 | lost | -3 | -2770 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 3 | won | +4 | -2767 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 3 | lost | -3 | -2770 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2767 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2763 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2759 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 4 | won | +4 | -2755 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2759 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 4 | won | +4 | -2755 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 4 | won | +6 | -2758 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 3 | won | +3 | -2764 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2767 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2764 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2760 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2756 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2751 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 5 | won | +6 | -2745 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2751 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 5 | won | +7 | -2746 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2753 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2747 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2742 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 6 | won | +6 | -2735 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons – Fire Flux | Raccoons | 1.89 | 5 | won | +5 | -2741 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2746 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2740 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2733 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2726 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 7 | won | +9 | -2718 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2727 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 7 | won | +7 | -2718 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 7 | won | +6 | -2726 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.95 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2732 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 1.94 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2724 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2716 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 8 | won | +10 | -2707 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2717 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2708 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 9 | won | +9 | -2697 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2706 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2696 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2684 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2671 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | BESTIA | 1.96 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2657 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2641 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.