Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3530u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
43%
bets
2824
drawdown
318.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-540u
period 6top-up-642u
period 5top-up-545u
period 4top-up-526u
period 3top-up-518u
period 2top-up-692u
period 1top-up-67u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 133 | 48% | -552 | -11.4% | 70.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2824 | 43% | -2038 | -8.8% | 196.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2824 | 43% | -2330 | -8.3% | 224% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2824 | 43% | -3530 | -9.2% | 318.9% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 2824 | 43% | -5713 | -9.8% | 432.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2824 | 43% | -6518 | -9.1% | 389% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2530 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2521 |
| 14.10.26 | Astralis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2511 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2501 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 10 | won | +16 | -2491 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 9 | won | +10 | -2507 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 9 | won | +13 | -2517 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2530 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 9 | won | +10 | -2521 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2531 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2522 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 9 | won | +12 | -2512 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2524 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2515 |
| 13.10.26 | JiJieHao – BBL | BBL | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2505 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2495 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | -2485 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2495 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2485 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2475 |
| 13.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.95 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2464 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.18 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2453 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2443 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2431 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2420 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2408 |
| 12.10.26 | PRIVATE – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.18 | 12 | won | +14 | -2396 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2410 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Inner Circle | 1.99 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2398 |
| 12.10.26 | Alter Ego – Chinggis Warriors | Alter Ego | 2.07 | 12 | won | +13 | -2386 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 12 | won | +12 | -2399 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.54 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2411 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 12 | won | +12 | -2399 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2411 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | Overtake Sector | 1.96 | 12 | won | +11 | -2399 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2410 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 11 | won | +24 | -2399 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2423 |
| 11.10.26 | BET-M – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 1.91 | 11 | won | +10 | -2411 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2421 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 11 | won | +16 | -2410 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2426 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2415 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2403 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2391 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 12 | won | +18 | -2379 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2397 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 12 | won | +13 | -2385 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2398 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2386 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2374 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 12 | won | +15 | -2361 |
| 11.10.26 | Zomblers – Iowa Stormboar | Zomblers | 2.07 | 12 | won | +13 | -2377 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2389 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 12 | won | +13 | -2377 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2390 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Wildcard | Wildcard | 1.92 | 12 | won | +11 | -2378 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 12 | won | +12 | -2389 |
| 10.10.26 | FaZe – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 1.96 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2401 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2389 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.