Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1121u
ROI
-5.4%
win rate
46%
bets
1245
drawdown
114.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
2% of bankroll
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-351u
period 3top-up-96u
period 2top-up-407u
period 1top-up-268u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 382 | 48% | -73 | -0.5% | 62.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1245 | 46% | -550 | -4.4% | 62.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -560 | -4.9% | 59.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -1121 | -5.4% | 114.4% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -2581 | -7% | 253.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -3768 | -9.4% | 354.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1245, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | LPH β WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 13 | lost | -13 | -121 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren β Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 13 | won | +19 | -108 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 β Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 13 | lost | -13 | -127 |
| 20.08.26 | OG β SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 13 | lost | -13 | -114 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity β benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 13 | won | +13 | -100 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked β UNiTY | Lavked | 1.95 | 13 | lost | -13 | -114 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere β Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 13 | won | +12 | -100 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 13 | won | +12 | -112 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares β Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 13 | lost | -13 | -125 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA β Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 13 | won | +13 | -111 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC β SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 13 | won | +13 | -125 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport β Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 12 | won | +11 | -137 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard β HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 13 | lost | -13 | -149 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 β Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 13 | lost | -13 | -136 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy β ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 13 | won | +15 | -123 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta β EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 13 | lost | -13 | -138 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse β ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 13 | won | +15 | -125 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 13 | lost | -13 | -140 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT β Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 13 | lost | -13 | -127 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares β ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 13 | lost | -13 | -114 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne β UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 14 | lost | -14 | -101 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC β OG | OG | 2.06 | 13 | won | +14 | -87 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU β MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 14 | lost | -14 | -101 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 13 | won | +12 | -88 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega β Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 13 | won | +22 | -100 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux β PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 13 | won | +12 | -122 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy β PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 13 | lost | -13 | -134 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo β ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 13 | lost | -13 | -121 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 14 | lost | -14 | -108 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC β Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 14 | lost | -14 | -94 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora β The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 14 | lost | -14 | -80 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega β Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 14 | won | +18 | -66 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 14 | lost | -14 | -84 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity β ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 14 | won | +19 | -70 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC β Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 14 | lost | -14 | -89 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 14 | lost | -14 | -75 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 14 | lost | -14 | -61 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus β G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 14 | won | +15 | -47 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons β Fire Flux | Raccoons | 1.89 | 14 | won | +12 | -62 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse β ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 14 | lost | -14 | -74 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE β BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 15 | lost | -15 | -60 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC β DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 15 | lost | -15 | -45 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA β QUINTESSΓNCIA | QUINTESSΓNCIA | 1.96 | 15 | lost | -15 | -30 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC β BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 15 | won | +17 | -15 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium β Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 15 | lost | -15 | -33 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 15 | won | +14 | -18 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 15 | won | +13 | -32 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares β Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.95 | 15 | lost | -15 | -45 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux β GUESS | GUESS | 1.94 | 15 | lost | -15 | -31 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters β DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 15 | lost | -15 | -15 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division β BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 15 | won | +18 | -0 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ β PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 15 | lost | -15 | -18 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE β WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 16 | lost | -16 | -3 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision β Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 15 | won | +14 | 13 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload β DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 16 | lost | -16 | 14 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus β Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 16 | lost | -16 | 30 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSΓNCIA β METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 17 | lost | -17 | 46 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial β BESTIA | BESTIA | 1.96 | 17 | lost | -17 | 63 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division β Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 17 | lost | -17 | 80 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.