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Always the underdog

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2253u
ROI
-10.2%
win rate
42%
bets
2821
drawdown
216.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-477u
period 6top-up-517u
period 5top-up-477u
period 4top-up-163u
period 3top-up-276u
period 2top-up-330u
period 1top-up-14u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13348%-547-11.2%71%Select
1% of bankroll282142%-2253-10.2%216.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282142%-2776-9.8%265.2%Select
2% of bankroll282142%-3700-10.6%333.2%Select
5% of bankroll282142%-5617-11.7%424.4%Select
10% of bankroll282142%-6423-12.8%380%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2821, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.425lost-5-1253
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-1248
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.905lost-5-1243
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+6-1237
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-1243
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+6-1238
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-1243
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-1238
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+7-1233
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-1240
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-1234
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.046lost-6-1229
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.906lost-6-1223
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+6-1218
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.996lost-6-1223
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-1218
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-1212
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.956lost-6-1206
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.186lost-6-1201
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.016lost-6-1195
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-1189
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-1183
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-1177
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.186won+7-1171
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-1178
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.996lost-6-1172
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-1166
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+6-1160
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-1166
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.046lost-6-1160
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.966lost-6-1154
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.966won+6-1147
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.616lost-6-1153
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-1147
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-1160
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.916won+6-1154
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+7-1159
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-1167
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.976lost-6-1175
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-1169
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.906lost-6-1163
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.316lost-6-1157
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.546won+10-1151
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.556lost-6-1160
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146won+7-1154
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.076lost-6-1161
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.146lost-6-1155
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.206lost-6-1148
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.246won+8-1142
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.256lost-6-1150
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146lost-6-1144
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.106won+7-1137
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.956won+6-1144
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.926won+6-1150
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.026won+6-1156
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.966lost-6-1162
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.836lost-6-1156
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.156lost-6-1150
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.376lost-6-1143
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.256won+8-1137
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.