Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-2816u
ROI
-5.7%
win rate
47%
bets
1250
drawdown
266.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-996u
period 3top-up-2u
period 2top-up-938u
period 1top-up-879u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 346 | 47% | +366 | +3% | 47.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1250 | 47% | -343 | -2.9% | 43.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1250 | 47% | -381 | -3% | 45.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1250 | 47% | -627 | -2.9% | 82.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1250 | 47% | -1375 | -3.2% | 182.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1250 | 47% | -2816 | -5.7% | 266.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1250, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | Lavked | 1.94 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 0 | won | +1 | -1815 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 0 | won | +0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 0 | won | +0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 0 | won | +1 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.14 | 0 | won | +0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.77 | 0 | won | +0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1817 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – ex-Sashi Academy | Misa | 1.98 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1816 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.93 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | HAVU | 1.96 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.97 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | Metizport | 1.90 | 0 | won | +0 | -1814 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 0 | won | +0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 0 | lost | -0 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | Strael Bora | 1.91 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 0 | won | +1 | -1814 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1815 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1814 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1814 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.42 | 1 | won | +1 | -1813 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1814 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.89 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1813 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 1 | won | +1 | -1812 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 1 | won | +1 | -1813 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1814 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1813 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1813 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.95 | 1 | won | +1 | -1812 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1813 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1812 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 1 | won | +1 | -1811 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 1 | won | +1 | -1812 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | Misa | 1.99 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1812 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | Honvéd | 2.06 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1812 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1811 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | magic | 1.95 | 1 | won | +1 | -1810 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1811 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1810 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1809 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 1 | won | +1 | -1807 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1809 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.58 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1807 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 1 | lost | -1 | -1806 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.