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Always the underdog

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-3119u
ROI
-7.9%
win rate
43%
bets
2822
drawdown
291.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-637u
period 6top-up-815u
period 5top-up-589u
period 4top-up-191u
period 3top-up-279u
period 2top-up-571u
period 1top-up-38u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale40447%-563-3.1%83.1%Select
1% of bankroll282243%-1834-7.8%179.6%Select
Flat (10 units)282243%-2180-7.7%212.9%Select
2% of bankroll282243%-3119-7.9%291.2%Select
5% of bankroll282243%-5179-8.1%423.6%Select
10% of bankroll282243%-6345-7.8%348.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2822, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-2119
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.198lost-8-2111
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+12-2104
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.417won+10-2116
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.907lost-7-2126
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-2119
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+8-2111
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-2119
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.018lost-8-2112
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-2104
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.118lost-8-2114
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.908lost-8-2106
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.168lost-8-2099
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.908lost-8-2091
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.048won+8-2083
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.118lost-8-2091
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.998lost-8-2083
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.108lost-8-2075
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.958lost-8-2067
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.269lost-9-2058
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.019lost-9-2050
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.699lost-9-2041
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.099lost-9-2032
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.689lost-9-2023
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.1810lost-10-2013
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-2004
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9910lost-10-1994
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.0410lost-10-1984
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-1974
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5410lost-10-1984
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-1974
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10-1984
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9610won+10-1974
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10-1984
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-1974
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-1994
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10-1984
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.9710lost-10-1974
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9711lost-11-1964
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15-1953
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-1968
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9011lost-11-1958
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3111lost-11-1947
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5411won+16-1936
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5511lost-11-1952
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1411won+12-1941
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0711lost-11-1954
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1411lost-11-1943
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0711won+12-1932
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2411won+13-1943
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.2011lost-11-1956
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1411lost-11-1946
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.9511won+10-1935
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1011won+12-1945
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.9210won+10-1956
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+10-1966
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.9610lost-10-1976
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8311lost-11-1966
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3711lost-11-1955
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12-1945
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.