Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1389u
ROI
-6.8%
win rate
54%
bets
2466
drawdown
139.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-248u
period 3top-up-511u
period 2top-up-213u
period 1top-up-416u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 95 | 46% | -1000 | -23.7% | 100% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2466 | 54% | -1389 | -6.8% | 139.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2466 | 54% | -1684 | -6.8% | 169.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2466 | 54% | -2315 | -6.7% | 226% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2466 | 54% | -3595 | -6.3% | 324.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2466 | 54% | -3980 | -5.3% | 326.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2466, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Nordic Valor – MAYBE | Nordic Valor | 1.76 | 8 | lost | -8 | -389 |
| 20.08.26 | FORZE Reload – Younglings | Younglings | 1.87 | 8 | lost | -8 | -381 |
| 20.08.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 8 | won | +5 | -373 |
| 20.08.26 | Ryvex – Coalesce | Ryvex | 1.89 | 8 | won | +7 | -378 |
| 20.08.26 | Leo – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 8 | lost | -8 | -385 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons Force – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.60 | 8 | lost | -8 | -377 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 – FURIA | FURIA | 1.86 | 8 | won | +7 | -370 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.84 | 8 | won | +6 | -376 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 8 | won | +6 | -383 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.53 | 8 | lost | -8 | -389 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | FaZe | 1.68 | 8 | lost | -8 | -381 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | Spirit | 1.57 | 8 | won | +4 | -373 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | OG | 1.77 | 8 | won | +6 | -378 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 8 | lost | -8 | -383 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 8 | lost | -8 | -376 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 8 | won | +5 | -368 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 8 | won | +4 | -373 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.82 | 8 | lost | -8 | -377 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 8 | lost | -8 | -369 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.84 | 8 | won | +7 | -362 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | G2 Ares | 1.80 | 8 | won | +6 | -368 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.58 | 8 | won | +4 | -374 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.58 | 8 | won | +4 | -379 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.77 | 8 | lost | -8 | -383 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | EAC | 1.78 | 8 | lost | -8 | -375 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.68 | 8 | won | +5 | -368 |
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort – OG | OG | 1.80 | 8 | won | +6 | -373 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 8 | lost | -8 | -379 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.76 | 8 | lost | -8 | -371 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | PCIFIC | 1.79 | 8 | lost | -8 | -364 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.85 | 8 | lost | -8 | -356 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 8 | lost | -8 | -348 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | G2 | 1.70 | 8 | won | +6 | -340 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 8 | won | +6 | -345 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.69 | 8 | lost | -8 | -351 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Enjoy | 1.67 | 8 | lost | -8 | -343 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 8 | lost | -8 | -335 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | ENCE | 1.65 | 8 | lost | -8 | -327 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 8 | won | +5 | -319 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 8 | won | +4 | -324 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.72 | 8 | won | +6 | -328 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.68 | 8 | won | +5 | -334 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Raccoons | Black Phoenix | 1.83 | 8 | lost | -8 | -339 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.80 | 8 | won | +6 | -331 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.78 | 8 | won | +6 | -338 |
| 19.08.26 | SAW Youngsters – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.86 | 8 | lost | -8 | -344 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.78 | 8 | won | +6 | -336 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 8 | won | +4 | -342 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 8 | won | +4 | -346 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | Inner Circle Academy | 1.82 | 8 | won | +6 | -349 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 1.72 | 8 | lost | -8 | -356 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | Lavked | 1.82 | 8 | lost | -8 | -348 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.88 | 8 | lost | -8 | -340 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 8 | won | +7 | -332 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 8 | lost | -8 | -338 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | Fire Flux | 1.82 | 8 | lost | -8 | -330 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | EAC | 1.74 | 8 | lost | -8 | -322 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.80 | 8 | won | +7 | -314 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – Permitta | Permitta | 1.54 | 8 | won | +4 | -320 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.45 | 8 | lost | -8 | -325 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.