Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1229u
ROI
-26.3%
win rate
43%
bets
96
drawdown
121.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-229u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | -191 | -7.8% | 23.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 53% | -193 | -7.8% | 24.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | -378 | -7.7% | 44.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | -914 | -7.7% | 92.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 96 | 43% | -1229 | -26.3% | 121.7% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 53% | -1729 | -7.6% | 153.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 96, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.06.26 | PARIVISION – 9z | PARIVISION | 1.85 | 435 | lost | -435 | -229 |
| 11.06.26 | Ding Cuts – Ground Zero | Ding Cuts | 1.83 | 320 | lost | -320 | 206 |
| 10.06.26 | B8 Academy – DONSTU | B8 Academy | 1.84 | 160 | lost | -160 | 526 |
| 10.06.26 | Walczaki – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.64 | 80 | lost | -80 | 686 |
| 10.06.26 | G2 Ares – Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 1.80 | 40 | lost | -40 | 766 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – Atreides | Atreides | 1.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 806 |
| 10.06.26 | aAa – RUSTEC | RUSTEC | 1.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 826 |
| 09.06.26 | KOLESIE – RUSTEC | KOLESIE | 1.69 | 20 | won | +14 | 836 |
| 09.06.26 | Lavked – Misa | Misa | 1.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | 822 |
| 08.06.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 832 |
| 07.06.26 | eSuba – LPH | eSuba | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 816 |
| 07.06.26 | Lilmix – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 826 |
| 07.06.26 | KOLESIE – Lazer Cats | KOLESIE | 1.67 | 20 | won | +13 | 818 |
| 06.06.26 | Astralis – 9z | Astralis | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 805 |
| 06.06.26 | paiN – TYLOO | TYLOO | 1.81 | 80 | won | +65 | 815 |
| 06.06.26 | 9z – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.72 | 40 | lost | -40 | 750 |
| 05.06.26 | ZOTIX – Banger Gang | ZOTIX | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 790 |
| 05.06.26 | TYLOO – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 810 |
| 05.06.26 | 1win – Betclic | 1win | 1.86 | 20 | won | +17 | 820 |
| 04.06.26 | INOX Division – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 803 |
| 03.06.26 | Arch – Wingman | Arch | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 813 |
| 03.06.26 | Young Ninjas – Entropy | Young Ninjas | 1.78 | 20 | won | +16 | 804 |
| 02.06.26 | BetBoom – Liquid | Liquid | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 789 |
| 02.06.26 | BIG – Gaimin Gladiators | BIG | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 799 |
| 02.06.26 | GamerLegion – FlyQuest | GamerLegion | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 791 |
| 02.06.26 | BetBoom – Gaimin Gladiators | Gaimin Gladiators | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 777 |
| 02.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – GenOne | GenOne | 1.86 | 20 | won | +17 | 787 |
| 02.06.26 | brazylijski luz – Atreides | Atreides | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 769 |
| 01.06.26 | B8 Academy – XI | B8 Academy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 779 |
| 31.05.26 | UNiTY – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.80 | 40 | won | +32 | 771 |
| 31.05.26 | KOLESIE – DragonClaw | KOLESIE | 1.63 | 20 | lost | -20 | 738 |
| 31.05.26 | SNITKO – ZOTIX | SNITKO | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 758 |
| 30.05.26 | LAG – absolute cinema | LAG | 1.83 | 10 | won | +8 | 768 |
| 30.05.26 | Wanted Goons – Reign Above | Reign Above | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 760 |
| 30.05.26 | Chicken Coop – F5 | F5 | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 744 |
| 30.05.26 | F5 – absolute cinema | F5 | 1.89 | 320 | won | +284 | 754 |
| 30.05.26 | Phantom – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.74 | 160 | lost | -160 | 470 |
| 30.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Atreides | Atreides | 1.81 | 80 | lost | -80 | 630 |
| 30.05.26 | OG – Just Players | Just Players | 1.76 | 40 | lost | -40 | 710 |
| 29.05.26 | FaZe – Sharks | Sharks | 1.88 | 20 | lost | -20 | 750 |
| 29.05.26 | Just Players – GenOne | Just Players | 1.71 | 10 | lost | -10 | 770 |
| 29.05.26 | magic – Ninjas in Pyjamas | magic | 1.84 | 10 | won | +8 | 780 |
| 28.05.26 | BESTIA – Galorys | Galorys | 1.81 | 80 | won | +65 | 772 |
| 28.05.26 | Young Ninjas – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.77 | 40 | lost | -40 | 706 |
| 28.05.26 | Gentle Mates – GenOne | GenOne | 1.65 | 20 | lost | -20 | 746 |
| 28.05.26 | Chicken Coop – Voca | Chicken Coop | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 27.05.26 | BET-M – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 776 |
| 27.05.26 | brazylijski luz – White Tigers | brazylijski luz | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 768 |
| 27.05.26 | Young Ninjas – TNC | TNC | 1.59 | 20 | won | +12 | 760 |
| 27.05.26 | Oxuji – K27 | Oxuji | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 749 |
| 27.05.26 | Rebels – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.81 | 40 | won | +33 | 759 |
| 27.05.26 | 3DMAX – magic | 3DMAX | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 726 |
| 27.05.26 | ASTRAL – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 746 |
| 26.05.26 | Just Players – ex-Zero Tenacity | Just Players | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 756 |
| 25.05.26 | MANA – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 742 |
| 25.05.26 | Prestige – MANA | Prestige | 1.72 | 40 | won | +29 | 752 |
| 25.05.26 | RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 723 |
| 24.05.26 | Overtake Sector – ex-Aether | Overtake Sector | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 743 |
| 24.05.26 | ALGO – Omega | Omega | 1.76 | 10 | won | +8 | 753 |
| 24.05.26 | SAW – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.82 | 40 | won | +33 | 745 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.