Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-2231u
ROI
-4.4%
win rate
57%
bets
543
drawdown
163.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-429u
period 6profit withdrawn+229u
period 5top-up-757u
period 4top-up-359u
period 3top-up-666u
period 2profit withdrawn+130u
period 1top-up-378u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 543 | 57% | +551 | +4.2% | 38.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 57% | -168 | -3.1% | 28.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 57% | -172 | -3.2% | 28.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 57% | -354 | -3.3% | 53.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 57% | -967 | -3.6% | 110.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 57% | -2231 | -4.4% | 163.3% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 53 | won | +46 | -1231 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 49 | won | +35 | -1276 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 45 | won | +36 | -1311 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 42 | won | +33 | -1347 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 40 | won | +19 | -1380 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 45 | lost | -45 | -1399 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 41 | won | +33 | -1355 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 39 | won | +20 | -1388 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 37 | won | +19 | -1408 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | Ground Zero | 1.56 | 35 | won | +20 | -1427 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 33 | won | +26 | -1447 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1473 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1437 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 45 | lost | -45 | -1396 |
| 09.10.26 | Club 333 – OverKnight | Club 333 | 1.86 | 41 | won | +36 | -1351 |
| 08.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.82 | 46 | lost | -46 | -1387 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 51 | lost | -51 | -1341 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | CYBERSHOKE | 1.82 | 57 | lost | -57 | -1289 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Rare Atom | 1.57 | 63 | lost | -63 | -1233 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 58 | won | +48 | -1169 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.75 | 65 | lost | -65 | -1217 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – RBLS | SAW | 1.63 | 72 | lost | -72 | -1153 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | Sangal | 1.72 | 67 | won | +48 | -1081 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 75 | lost | -75 | -1129 |
| 07.10.26 | Just Players – HYPERSPIRIT | Just Players | 1.55 | 71 | won | +39 | -1054 |
| 07.10.26 | Nas – Kaleido | Nas | 1.79 | 79 | lost | -79 | -1093 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 73 | won | +52 | -1014 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 82 | lost | -82 | -1066 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | G2 Ares | 1.82 | 75 | won | +62 | -985 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 84 | lost | -84 | -1046 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 78 | won | +63 | -962 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 86 | lost | -86 | -1026 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 79 | won | +67 | -939 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 88 | lost | -88 | -1007 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 84 | won | +46 | -918 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 81 | won | +24 | -964 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.62 | 77 | won | +48 | -989 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.68 | 72 | won | +49 | -1036 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 69 | won | +22 | -1085 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 77 | lost | -77 | -1107 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 73 | won | +45 | -1030 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 68 | won | +51 | -1075 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 75 | lost | -75 | -1126 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 83 | lost | -83 | -1051 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 79 | won | +43 | -967 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 77 | won | +18 | -1010 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 86 | lost | -86 | -1028 |
| 01.10.26 | HOTU – Nemesis | HOTU | 1.87 | 95 | lost | -95 | -942 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 106 | lost | -106 | -847 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 100 | won | +60 | -741 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 117 | won | +57 | -801 |
| 29.09.26 | Privateer – eternal premium | eternal premium | 1.56 | 111 | won | +63 | -858 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 123 | lost | -123 | -921 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 116 | won | +77 | -797 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 128 | lost | -128 | -875 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 123 | won | +51 | -746 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 116 | won | +75 | -797 |
| 28.09.26 | Turma do Pagode – Yawara | Turma do Pagode | 1.86 | 107 | won | +92 | -872 |
| 27.09.26 | Nemiga – Color | Nemiga | 1.60 | 101 | won | +60 | -964 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | RBLS | 1.82 | 112 | lost | -112 | -1024 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.