Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+13u
ROI
+0.1%
win rate
58%
bets
251
drawdown
48.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-74u
period 3profit withdrawn+15u
period 2profit withdrawn+478u
period 1top-up-405u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 251 | 58% | +571 | +10.7% | 30.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 251 | 58% | +13 | +0.1% | 48.7% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 251 | 58% | +13 | +0.3% | 21.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 251 | 58% | +9 | +0.4% | 11.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 251 | 58% | +8 | +0.3% | 11.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 251 | 58% | -61 | -0.2% | 81.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 251, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 45 | won | +36 | 1013 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 43 | won | +34 | 977 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 45 | lost | -45 | 943 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 47 | lost | -47 | 988 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1036 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 49 | won | +20 | 1086 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 52 | lost | -52 | 1066 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.85 | 54 | lost | -54 | 1117 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.55 | 53 | won | +29 | 1171 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Leo | 1.61 | 56 | lost | -56 | 1142 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | ENCE | 1.68 | 58 | lost | -58 | 1198 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | 100 Thieves | 1.59 | 62 | lost | -62 | 1256 |
| 14.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Phantom Academy | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.82 | 59 | won | +49 | 1318 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 58 | won | +28 | 1269 |
| 13.08.26 | ENCE – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.77 | 56 | won | +43 | 1242 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 55 | won | +21 | 1199 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | FURIA | 1.76 | 53 | won | +40 | 1178 |
| 12.08.26 | Luminosity – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.81 | 51 | won | +41 | 1138 |
| 09.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | Jam | 1.59 | 49 | won | +29 | 1097 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | fnatic | 1.69 | 47 | won | +33 | 1068 |
| 09.08.26 | FOKUS – Acend | Acend | 1.87 | 45 | won | +40 | 1035 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | EYEBALLERS | 1.74 | 44 | won | +33 | 996 |
| 08.08.26 | LPH – Nexus | LPH | 1.81 | 46 | lost | -46 | 963 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 45 | won | +20 | 1009 |
| 08.08.26 | NAVI Junior – LPH | LPH | 1.64 | 44 | won | +28 | 989 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | K27 | 1.70 | 42 | won | +30 | 961 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | Echo | 1.70 | 41 | won | +29 | 932 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – Iberian Soul | FKOMAR | 1.86 | 43 | lost | -43 | 903 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 42 | won | +21 | 946 |
| 07.08.26 | Just Players – Butterfly | Butterfly | 1.72 | 40 | won | +29 | 925 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | Jam | 1.71 | 39 | won | +28 | 896 |
| 05.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Butterfly | Butterfly | 1.85 | 37 | won | +32 | 869 |
| 05.08.26 | Betclic – Liquid | Liquid | 1.87 | 39 | lost | -39 | 837 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 39 | won | +15 | 876 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Leo | Leo | 1.85 | 41 | lost | -41 | 861 |
| 04.08.26 | Sashi – Phantom | Phantom | 1.83 | 43 | lost | -43 | 901 |
| 04.08.26 | Grêmio – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 1.89 | 45 | lost | -45 | 944 |
| 04.08.26 | Yawara – ex-GUARA | Yawara | 1.88 | 43 | won | +38 | 989 |
| 03.08.26 | Walczaki – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.74 | 42 | won | +31 | 951 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | Butterfly | 1.75 | 40 | won | +30 | 920 |
| 03.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Misa | Misa | 1.88 | 42 | lost | -42 | 890 |
| 03.08.26 | Mindfreak – FURY | FURY | 1.82 | 41 | won | +33 | 933 |
| 02.08.26 | Vexar – Inner Circle Academy | Vexar | 1.58 | 43 | lost | -43 | 899 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.80 | 45 | lost | -45 | 942 |
| 02.08.26 | 6666 – 9INE | 9INE | 1.71 | 43 | won | +31 | 987 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – ex-1win | ex-1win | 1.83 | 46 | lost | -46 | 956 |
| 01.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – megoshort | CYBERSHOKE | 1.55 | 45 | won | +24 | 1002 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 47 | lost | -47 | 977 |
| 01.08.26 | Betclic – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.62 | 49 | lost | -49 | 1024 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO – DONSTU | DEPO | 1.77 | 48 | won | +37 | 1073 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – THE UNIT | Trouble makers | 1.89 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1037 |
| 31.07.26 | JiJieHao – Black Phoenix | JiJieHao | 1.88 | 53 | lost | -53 | 1087 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU – ROUNDS | HAVU | 1.89 | 51 | won | +45 | 1140 |
| 31.07.26 | FaZe – The MongolZ | FaZe | 1.80 | 49 | won | +39 | 1095 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 48 | won | +19 | 1055 |
| 31.07.26 | UNiTY – Mai Tai | UNiTY | 1.86 | 46 | won | +40 | 1037 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – BC.Game | ROUNDS | 1.86 | 49 | lost | -49 | 997 |
| 31.07.26 | Voca – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.74 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1046 |
| 31.07.26 | Atreides – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.67 | 50 | won | +33 | 1097 |
| 30.07.26 | 1win – Butterfly | Butterfly | 1.85 | 48 | won | +41 | 1064 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.