Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-654u
ROI
-2.4%
win rate
58%
bets
544
drawdown
82.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-325u
period 6top-up-251u
period 5top-up-453u
period 4profit withdrawn+479u
period 3top-up-286u
period 2top-up-4u
period 1profit withdrawn+186u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 544 | 58% | +686 | +5.4% | 34.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 544 | 58% | -115 | -2.1% | 23% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 544 | 58% | -119 | -2.2% | 23.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 544 | 58% | -245 | -2.3% | 42.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 544 | 58% | -654 | -2.4% | 82.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 544 | 58% | -1378 | -2.7% | 120.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 544, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 33 | won | +13 | 346 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 35 | lost | -35 | 333 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 34 | won | +24 | 368 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 33 | won | +23 | 344 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 31 | won | +25 | 322 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 31 | won | +15 | 297 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 32 | lost | -32 | 282 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 34 | lost | -34 | 314 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 33 | won | +16 | 348 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | WBT Academy | 1.72 | 35 | lost | -35 | 332 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | Club 333 | 1.78 | 37 | lost | -37 | 367 |
| 10.10.26 | Galorys – Turma do Pagode | Turma do Pagode | 1.88 | 39 | lost | -39 | 403 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Nexus | 1.78 | 37 | won | +29 | 442 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 39 | lost | -39 | 413 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 41 | lost | -41 | 452 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Reign Above | 1.65 | 43 | lost | -43 | 493 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 46 | lost | -46 | 536 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 48 | lost | -48 | 582 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Misa | 1.54 | 47 | won | +25 | 630 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 46 | won | +15 | 605 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 48 | lost | -48 | 590 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.75 | 51 | lost | -51 | 638 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 50 | won | +25 | 689 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | RBLS | 1.55 | 48 | won | +27 | 665 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 51 | lost | -51 | 638 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 54 | lost | -54 | 689 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Vexar | 1.61 | 56 | lost | -56 | 742 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 54 | won | +39 | 799 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 53 | won | +27 | 760 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | G2 Ares | 1.82 | 51 | won | +42 | 734 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 54 | lost | -54 | 692 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 52 | won | +42 | 746 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 54 | lost | -54 | 704 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | FURIA | 1.59 | 53 | won | +31 | 758 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 51 | won | +31 | 727 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 50 | won | +27 | 696 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 49 | won | +15 | 668 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.62 | 48 | won | +30 | 654 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | BC.Game | 1.70 | 46 | won | +32 | 624 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 45 | won | +15 | 592 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 44 | won | +28 | 577 |
| 02.10.26 | HAVU – BBL | BBL | 1.52 | 43 | won | +22 | 549 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | Fire Flux | 1.68 | 41 | won | +28 | 527 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 44 | lost | -44 | 499 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 46 | lost | -46 | 542 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 45 | won | +24 | 588 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 44 | won | +10 | 564 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 46 | lost | -46 | 554 |
| 01.10.26 | HOTU – Nemesis | HOTU | 1.87 | 49 | lost | -49 | 600 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 52 | lost | -52 | 649 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 50 | won | +30 | 701 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | mellren | 1.68 | 36 | won | +25 | 671 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 38 | lost | -38 | 646 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 40 | lost | -40 | 684 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | DEPO | 1.57 | 42 | lost | -42 | 724 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 44 | lost | -44 | 766 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 44 | won | +18 | 811 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 42 | won | +27 | 793 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 44 | lost | -44 | 766 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 47 | lost | -47 | 810 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.