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Always the favorite

CSCS2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+1180u
ROI
+3.5%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
37.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+167u
period 6top-up-73u
period 5profit withdrawn+13u
period 4profit withdrawn+308u
period 3profit withdrawn+212u
period 2profit withdrawn+340u
period 1profit withdrawn+213u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale137356%+1180+3.5%37.5%Select
1% of bankroll137356%-697-5.4%74.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137356%-731-5.3%77.2%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1329-5.5%129.3%Select
5% of bankroll137356%-2862-5.6%226.6%Select
10% of bankroll137356%-4519-5.6%291.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+52180
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5520won+112175
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-102164
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+162174
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-102158
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7120won+142168
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-102154
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+82164
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+52156
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8220won+162151
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-102134
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4820won+102144
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-102135
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8120won+162145
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-102129
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8140won+322139
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8620lost-202106
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-102126
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+32136
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5210won+52133
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+72128
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5120won+102121
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7210lost-102111
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4580won+362121
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4740lost-402084
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7820lost-202124
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6210lost-102144
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7310won+72154
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+62147
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseIberian Soul1.8410won+82141
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5820won+122133
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7310lost-102121
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7720won+152131
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-102116
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4520won+92126
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-102117
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7540won+302127
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6520lost-202097
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6010lost-102117
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.82160won+1312127
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7980lost-801996
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5040lost-402076
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4920lost-202116
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-102136
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5410won+52146
08.10.26EAC – PUREPURE1.7020won+142141
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8610lost-102127
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8410won+82137
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8210won+82128
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.6610won+72120
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5010won+52113
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6310won+62108
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5120won+102102
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-102092
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleFarmVille1.7440won+302102
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8720lost-202072
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7510lost-102092
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7380won+582102
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4240lost-402044
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorLazer Cats1.7320lost-202084
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.