Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+724u
ROI
+4.5%
win rate
57%
bets
620
drawdown
78%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+227u
period 3profit withdrawn+1138u
period 2top-up-702u
period 1profit withdrawn+60u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 620 | 57% | +724 | +4.5% | 78% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 620 | 57% | -46 | -0.7% | 19.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 620 | 57% | -54 | -0.9% | 20.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 620 | 57% | -122 | -1% | 39.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 620 | 57% | -397 | -1.3% | 78% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 620 | 57% | -1041 | -1.7% | 105.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 620, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1724 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 1716 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | 1708 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | G2 Ares | 1.80 | 10 | won | +8 | 1701 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 40 | won | +23 | 1693 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1670 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | PCIFIC | 1.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1690 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | G2 | 1.74 | 40 | won | +30 | 1700 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Enjoy | 1.67 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1671 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1691 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 1701 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1694 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 1689 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | Inner Circle Academy | 1.85 | 40 | won | +34 | 1682 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 1.72 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1648 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | Lavked | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1668 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 1678 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Color | 1.74 | 20 | won | +15 | 1670 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1655 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.80 | 20 | won | +16 | 1665 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1649 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 1659 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.76 | 20 | won | +15 | 1650 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC – Just Players | PCIFIC | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1635 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 1645 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | Nexus | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1637 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.74 | 160 | won | +119 | 1647 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | Permitta | 1.83 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1528 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1608 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.81 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1648 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1668 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | MOUZ | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 1678 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.55 | 10 | won | +6 | 1671 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1666 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 80 | won | +36 | 1661 |
| 15.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.84 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1625 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | 9z | 1.76 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1665 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Leo | 1.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1685 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | LPH | 1.56 | 80 | won | +45 | 1695 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Honvéd | 1.59 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1650 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | ENCE | 1.68 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1690 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | Fire Flux | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1710 |
| 14.08.26 | Galorys – BORRACHEIROS | Galorys | 1.85 | 80 | won | +68 | 1720 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.80 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1653 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | 100 Thieves | 1.59 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1693 |
| 14.08.26 | Just Players – ENCE | Just Players | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1713 |
| 14.08.26 | Leo – benched gods | Leo | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 1723 |
| 14.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Phantom Academy | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 1715 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1699 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 1709 |
| 14.08.26 | NEW VISION – Arch | Arch | 1.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1699 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1709 |
| 13.08.26 | ENCE – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 1704 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 1697 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | FURIA | 1.76 | 20 | won | +15 | 1693 |
| 12.08.26 | BetBoom – FaZe | BetBoom | 1.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1678 |
| 12.08.26 | Vexar – Raccoons | Raccoons | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 1688 |
| 12.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Legacy | Legacy | 1.85 | 10 | won | +9 | 1679 |
| 12.08.26 | Luminosity – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 1670 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1662 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.