Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3375u
ROI
-5.3%
win rate
54%
bets
1378
drawdown
176.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-838u
period 6top-up-977u
period 5top-up-987u
period 4top-up-900u
period 3top-up-632u
period 2top-up-968u
period 1profit withdrawn+1927u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 379 | 54% | -474 | -3.8% | 66.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1378 | 54% | -946 | -7.5% | 97.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1378 | 54% | -1043 | -7.6% | 106.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1378 | 54% | -1708 | -7.4% | 155.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1378 | 54% | -3076 | -6.9% | 209% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1378 | 54% | -3375 | -5.3% | 176.9% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1378, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FOKUS – Younglings | FOKUS | 1.58 | 15 | won | +9 | -2375 |
| 14.10.26 | Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTEC | Black Phoenix | 1.76 | 14 | won | +11 | -2384 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | HOTU | 1.77 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2395 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2379 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 17 | won | +6 | -2361 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 16 | won | +8 | -2368 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | HOTU | 1.84 | 15 | won | +13 | -2376 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2388 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 15 | won | +12 | -2372 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2384 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 16 | won | +11 | -2367 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2378 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 16 | won | +13 | -2360 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 15 | won | +12 | -2373 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 14 | won | +12 | -2385 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.66 | 13 | won | +9 | -2397 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 12 | won | +9 | -2406 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2414 |
| 11.10.26 | BET-M – PRIVATE | BET-M | 1.87 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2401 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 14 | won | +11 | -2386 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2397 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 15 | won | +7 | -2381 |
| 11.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – LP | Bounty Hunters | 1.86 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2389 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Holy Cannoli | 1.67 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2372 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | NRG | 1.52 | 17 | won | +9 | -2354 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | 6666 | 1.72 | 16 | won | +12 | -2363 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | WBT Academy | 1.72 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2375 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.53 | 17 | won | +9 | -2357 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 16 | won | +7 | -2366 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2373 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | Ground Zero | 1.56 | 17 | won | +10 | -2355 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 16 | won | +13 | -2365 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | ALKA | 1.62 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2377 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Spirit | 1.60 | 17 | won | +10 | -2360 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – Just Players | Just Players | 1.57 | 16 | won | +9 | -2370 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.58 | 15 | won | +9 | -2379 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2387 |
| 09.10.26 | The Huns – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.77 | 15 | won | +12 | -2371 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.63 | 17 | lost | -17 | -2383 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 16 | won | +7 | -2366 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 18 | lost | -18 | -2373 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 20 | lost | -20 | -2355 |
| 09.10.26 | Zomblers – Desi Boyz | Desi Boyz | 1.88 | 23 | lost | -23 | -2335 |
| 09.10.26 | Isurus – ex-Keyd Stars | Isurus | 1.85 | 25 | lost | -25 | -2312 |
| 09.10.26 | MEIA NOITE – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.67 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2287 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | INFINITE | 1.79 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2259 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2228 |
| 08.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.82 | 38 | lost | -38 | -2194 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 42 | lost | -42 | -2156 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | CYBERSHOKE | 1.82 | 47 | lost | -47 | -2113 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 45 | won | +22 | -2066 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Rare Atom | 1.57 | 50 | lost | -50 | -2088 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2038 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 51 | won | +42 | -1983 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 57 | lost | -57 | -2025 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | Enjoy | 1.51 | 63 | lost | -63 | -1968 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | RBLS | 1.75 | 70 | lost | -70 | -1905 |
| 08.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.51 | 67 | won | +34 | -1835 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Color | 1.77 | 74 | lost | -74 | -1869 |
| 08.10.26 | Villainous – FarmVille | FarmVille | 1.74 | 69 | won | +51 | -1795 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.