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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-865u
ROI
-6.3%
win rate
55%
bets
1371
drawdown
90%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-136u
period 6top-up-249u
period 5top-up-267u
period 4top-up-165u
period 3top-up-13u
period 2top-up-53u
period 1profit withdrawn+17u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale112656%-428-1.4%69.3%Select
1% of bankroll137155%-823-6.4%85.8%Select
Flat (10 units)137155%-865-6.3%90%Selected
2% of bankroll137155%-1561-6.5%151%Select
5% of bankroll137155%-3302-6.6%266.8%Select
10% of bankroll137155%-5009-6.5%333.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1371, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9135
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8127
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10119
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7129
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10122
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7132
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8125
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8117
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10109
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5119
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10114
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10124
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8134
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10126
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10136
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10146
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareHoly Cannoli1.6710lost-10156
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6910won+7166
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+7159
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5110won+5152
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7210lost-10147
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+5157
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREDesi Boyz1.8310lost-10152
10.10.26regain – Villainousregain1.6210won+6162
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8010won+8156
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7310won+7148
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+6141
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersJust Players1.5710won+6135
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+6129
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersWBT Academy1.5310lost-10123
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6910won+7133
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-10126
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+5136
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7510won+7132
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-10124
09.10.26regain – Iowa Stormboarregain1.8110lost-10134
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraYawara1.7510won+8144
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6010lost-10137
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7910lost-10147
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8110won+8157
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4910lost-10149
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-10159
08.10.26EAC – PUREPURE1.7010won+7169
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5410won+5162
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoAlter Ego1.6510lost-10156
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8210won+8166
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4210lost-10158
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.8110won+8168
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5010won+5160
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6310won+6155
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6610won+7149
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-10142
08.10.26Marsborne – Without a RoofMarsborne1.7510lost-10152
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.3910lost-10162
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3510won+4172
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8710lost-10168
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5010won+5178
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSangal1.7210won+7173
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5610lost-10166
07.10.26BERG – LeoLeo1.3610won+4176
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.