Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-865u
ROI
-6.3%
win rate
55%
bets
1371
drawdown
90%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-136u
period 6top-up-249u
period 5top-up-267u
period 4top-up-165u
period 3top-up-13u
period 2top-up-53u
period 1profit withdrawn+17u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1126 | 56% | -428 | -1.4% | 69.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1371 | 55% | -823 | -6.4% | 85.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1371 | 55% | -865 | -6.3% | 90% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 1371 | 55% | -1561 | -6.5% | 151% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1371 | 55% | -3302 | -6.6% | 266.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1371 | 55% | -5009 | -6.5% | 333.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1371, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 135 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 127 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 119 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 129 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 122 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 132 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 125 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 117 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | regain | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 109 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 119 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 114 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 124 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 134 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 126 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 136 |
| 11.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Yawara | Yawara | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 146 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Holy Cannoli | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 156 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Wildcard | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 166 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | 6666 | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 159 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 10 | won | +5 | 152 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | WBT Academy | 1.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 147 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 157 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 152 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 162 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 10 | won | +8 | 156 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 148 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Spirit | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 141 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – Just Players | Just Players | 1.57 | 10 | won | +6 | 135 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.58 | 10 | won | +6 | 129 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 123 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 133 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 126 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 136 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 132 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 124 |
| 09.10.26 | regain – Iowa Stormboar | regain | 1.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | 134 |
| 09.10.26 | Grêmio – Yawara | Yawara | 1.75 | 10 | won | +8 | 144 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | Turma do Pagode | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 137 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | INFINITE | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 147 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 157 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 149 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 159 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | PURE | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 169 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Misa | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 162 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 156 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 166 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 158 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 168 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 160 |
| 08.10.26 | OG – Sangal | Sangal | 1.63 | 10 | won | +6 | 155 |
| 08.10.26 | Banda Chuya – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 149 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Color | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 142 |
| 08.10.26 | Marsborne – Without a Roof | Marsborne | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | 152 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 162 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 10 | won | +4 | 172 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | BESTIA Academy | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 168 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 178 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | Sangal | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 173 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 166 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 176 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.