Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+277u
ROI
+1.7%
win rate
53%
bets
618
drawdown
61.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+192u
period 3top-up-39u
period 2profit withdrawn+205u
period 1top-up-81u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 618 | 53% | +277 | +1.7% | 61.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 618 | 53% | -481 | -8.2% | 50.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 618 | 53% | -493 | -8% | 51.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 618 | 53% | -933 | -8.5% | 93.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 618 | 53% | -2085 | -9.1% | 190.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 618 | 53% | -3287 | -10% | 263.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 618, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1277 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1297 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 10 | won | +5 | 1307 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 160 | won | +92 | 1302 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.80 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1210 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | EAC | 1.78 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1290 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1330 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1350 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 1360 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1346 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 1356 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 1349 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 1341 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 80 | won | +35 | 1336 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.87 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1301 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | Vexar | 1.78 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1341 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta – OG | Permitta | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1361 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 40 | won | +34 | 1371 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1336 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1356 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 1366 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 20 | won | +17 | 1359 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1342 |
| 17.08.26 | Revise – FORZE Reload | Revise | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 1352 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 20 | won | +14 | 1344 |
| 17.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1329 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.68 | 20 | won | +14 | 1339 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1326 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Imperial | 1.65 | 20 | won | +13 | 1336 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1323 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | FORZE Reload | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 1333 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.58 | 10 | won | +6 | 1326 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 1320 |
| 15.08.26 | BAKS – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.88 | 40 | won | +35 | 1313 |
| 15.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1278 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ex-MANA | MOUZ NXT | 1.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1298 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.70 | 40 | won | +28 | 1308 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – OG | Fire Flux | 1.79 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1280 |
| 15.08.26 | GUESS – Arch | Arch | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1300 |
| 15.08.26 | The MongolZ – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 1310 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | BESTIA | 1.75 | 20 | won | +15 | 1301 |
| 15.08.26 | Noir Verse – Entropy | Entropy | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1286 |
| 14.08.26 | Galorys – BORRACHEIROS | Galorys | 1.85 | 20 | won | +17 | 1296 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1279 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 80 | won | +37 | 1289 |
| 14.08.26 | FUT – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.60 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1253 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.71 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1293 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1313 |
| 14.08.26 | OG – Privateer | OG | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 1323 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 1314 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | ALKA | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 1309 |
| 13.08.26 | BERG – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1294 |
| 12.08.26 | 9z – paiN | 9z | 1.60 | 160 | won | +97 | 1304 |
| 12.08.26 | train launcher – benched gods | train launcher | 1.81 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1208 |
| 12.08.26 | BetBoom – FaZe | BetBoom | 1.80 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1288 |
| 12.08.26 | PARIVISION – B8 | PARIVISION | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1328 |
| 12.08.26 | Spirit – JiJieHao | Spirit | 1.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1348 |
| 12.08.26 | Luminosity – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 1358 |
| 11.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1341 |
| 10.08.26 | BORRACHEIROS – MEIA NOITE | BORRACHEIROS | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 1351 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.