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Always the favorite

CSCS2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+1180u
ROI
+3.5%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
37.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+167u
period 6top-up-73u
period 5profit withdrawn+13u
period 4profit withdrawn+308u
period 3profit withdrawn+212u
period 2profit withdrawn+340u
period 1profit withdrawn+213u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale137356%+1180+3.5%37.5%Selected
1% of bankroll137356%-697-5.4%74.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137356%-731-5.3%77.2%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1329-5.5%129.3%Select
5% of bankroll137356%-2862-5.6%226.6%Select
10% of bankroll137356%-4519-5.6%291.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+52180
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5520won+112175
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-102164
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+162174
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-102158
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7120won+142168
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-102154
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+82164
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+52156
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8220won+162151
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-102134
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4820won+102144
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-102135
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8120won+162145
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-102129
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8140won+322139
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8620lost-202106
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-102126
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+32136
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5210won+52133
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+72128
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5120won+102121
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7210lost-102111
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4580won+362121
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4740lost-402084
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7820lost-202124
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6210lost-102144
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7310won+72154
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+62147
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseIberian Soul1.8410won+82141
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5820won+122133
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7310lost-102121
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7720won+152131
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-102116
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4520won+92126
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-102117
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7540won+302127
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6520lost-202097
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6010lost-102117
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.82160won+1312127
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7980lost-801996
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5040lost-402076
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4920lost-202116
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-102136
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5410won+52146
08.10.26EAC – PUREPURE1.7020won+142141
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8610lost-102127
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8410won+82137
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8210won+82128
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.6610won+72120
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5010won+52113
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6310won+62108
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5120won+102102
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-102092
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleFarmVille1.7440won+302102
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8720lost-202072
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7510lost-102092
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7380won+582102
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4240lost-402044
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorLazer Cats1.7320lost-202084
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.