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Always the favorite

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1287u
ROI
-5.3%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
126.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-287u
period 6top-up-394u
period 5top-up-422u
period 4top-up-175u
period 3top-up-3u
period 2profit withdrawn+41u
period 1top-up-48u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale112856%+559+2.1%41.7%Select
1% of bankroll137356%-670-5.2%72.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137356%-697-5.1%74.8%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1287-5.3%126.1%Selected
5% of bankroll137356%-2852-5.7%214.9%Select
10% of bankroll137356%-4737-6.2%242.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4914won+7-287
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8414won+12-294
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7414lost-14-306
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7814won+11-292
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6014lost-14-303
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7114won+10-289
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7614lost-14-298
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8014won+11-284
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5314won+7-295
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8214won+11-303
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8214lost-14-314
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7214won+10-300
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3514lost-14-310
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4714won+7-296
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8114won+11-302
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5314lost-14-314
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8614lost-14-299
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4114won+6-285
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3114won+4-291
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6914won+10-295
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7214won+10-305
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7214lost-14-315
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5114won+7-301
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4514won+6-308
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7814lost-14-314
10.10.26regain – Villainousregain1.6214won+9-300
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8014won+11-309
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6214lost-14-320
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6014won+8-306
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4814lost-14-314
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5814won+8-300
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7314lost-14-308
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6914won+10-294
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6314lost-14-304
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4514won+6-289
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4014lost-14-296
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7514won+11-281
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsNew Legends1.5814lost-14-292
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6015lost-15-277
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8215won+12-263
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7915lost-15-275
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2615won+4-260
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8115won+12-263
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7315lost-15-275
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5415won+8-260
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4915won+7-268
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoAlter Ego1.6515lost-15-276
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.5715lost-15-261
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8615lost-15-246
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4216lost-16-230
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5116lost-16-215
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6316won+10-198
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5116won+8-208
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7716lost-16-216
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3916won+6-200
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3516won+6-207
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4516won+7-212
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8716lost-16-219
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5016won+8-203
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSangal1.7216won+11-211
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.