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Always the favorite

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-2852u
ROI
-5.7%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
214.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-596u
period 6top-up-762u
period 5top-up-779u
period 4top-up-444u
period 3top-up-77u
period 2top-up-46u
period 1top-up-148u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale112856%+559+2.1%41.7%Select
1% of bankroll137356%-670-5.2%72.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137356%-697-5.1%74.8%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1287-5.3%126.1%Select
5% of bankroll137356%-2852-5.7%214.9%Selected
10% of bankroll137356%-4737-6.2%242.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4920won+10-1852
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8419won+16-1862
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7420lost-20-1878
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7819won+15-1858
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6020lost-20-1873
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7120won+14-1852
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7621lost-21-1866
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8020won+16-1846
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5319won+10-1861
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8218won+15-1872
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8219lost-19-1887
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7219won+13-1867
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3520lost-20-1881
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4719won+9-1861
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8119won+15-1870
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5320lost-20-1885
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8621lost-21-1866
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4120won+8-1845
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3120won+6-1853
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6919won+13-1860
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7219won+13-1873
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7219lost-19-1886
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5119won+10-1867
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4519won+8-1876
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7820lost-20-1885
10.10.26regain – Villainousregain1.6219won+12-1865
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8018won+15-1877
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6219lost-19-1892
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6019won+11-1872
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4820lost-20-1884
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5819won+11-1864
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7320lost-20-1875
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6919won+13-1855
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6320lost-20-1868
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4520won+9-1848
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4021lost-21-1857
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7520won+15-1836
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsNew Legends1.5821lost-21-1851
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6022lost-22-1830
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8222won+18-1807
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7923lost-23-1825
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2622won+6-1802
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8122won+18-1808
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7323lost-23-1825
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5422won+12-1803
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4922won+11-1815
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoAlter Ego1.6523lost-23-1825
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.5724lost-24-1803
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8625lost-25-1779
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4226lost-26-1754
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5128lost-28-1727
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6327won+17-1699
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5126won+14-1716
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7728lost-28-1730
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3927won+11-1702
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3527won+9-1713
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4526won+12-1722
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8727lost-27-1734
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5027won+13-1706
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSangal1.7226won+19-1720
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.