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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-846u
ROI
-6.1%
win rate
56%
bets
1378
drawdown
93.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-39u
period 6top-up-166u
period 5top-up-287u
period 4top-up-115u
period 3top-up-43u
period 2top-up-215u
period 1profit withdrawn+20u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale80754%-385-1.6%65.8%Select
1% of bankroll137856%-808-6.4%88.8%Select
Flat (10 units)137856%-846-6.1%93.1%Select
2% of bankroll137856%-1538-6.6%157.6%Select
5% of bankroll137856%-3263-7.2%283.8%Select
10% of bankroll137856%-4938-7.8%365.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1378, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4710won+5154
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.7710lost-10149
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6910won+7159
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4152
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7610lost-10148
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5158
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+8153
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9145
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8136
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10128
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7138
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10131
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7141
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5134
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8129
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7121
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7114
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10107
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10117
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10127
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8137
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10129
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4139
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3135
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5210won+5132
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+7126
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5110won+5119
10.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5310won+5114
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+5109
10.10.26regain – Villainousregain1.6210won+6104
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7810lost-1098
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8010won+8108
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7310won+7100
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+693
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersJust Players1.5710won+687
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+681
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersWBT Academy1.5310lost-1075
09.10.26Vitalem Aerem – Rare AtomRare Atom1.5210lost-1085
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-1095
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+5105
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-10101
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7510won+7111
09.10.26Chicken Coop – DETONATEChicken Coop1.8110won+8103
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8210won+895
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraYawara1.7510won+887
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7910lost-1079
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2610won+389
08.10.26Just Players – ENCEJust Players1.8810won+987
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-1078
08.10.26CYBERSHOKE – NexusCYBERSHOKE1.8210lost-1088
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+598
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoAlter Ego1.6510lost-1093
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.5710lost-10103
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4210lost-10113
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3210won+3123
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5010won+5120
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.7510lost-10115
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5110won+5125
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-10120
08.10.26OverKnight – Desi BoyzDesi Boyz1.8110won+8130
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.