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Always the favorite

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-5294u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
55%
bets
1375
drawdown
411.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-711u
period 6top-up-983u
period 5top-up-984u
period 4top-up-894u
period 3top-up-532u
period 2top-up-958u
period 1top-up-231u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale29052%-812-10.3%88%Select
1% of bankroll137555%-1002-8%104%Select
Flat (10 units)137555%-1080-7.9%111.8%Select
2% of bankroll137555%-1856-8.2%183.1%Select
5% of bankroll137555%-3698-8.6%323.1%Select
10% of bankroll137555%-5294-9.2%411.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1375, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6927won+19-4294
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3826won+10-4313
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4925won+12-4323
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5524won+13-4335
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8722won+19-4348
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+16-4367
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6022lost-22-4383
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7121won+15-4360
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7623lost-23-4375
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8021won+17-4352
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5320won+11-4369
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8219won+15-4380
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8221lost-21-4395
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4820won+9-4374
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3522lost-22-4384
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6525lost-25-4362
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8123won+18-4337
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5325lost-25-4355
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5024won+12-4330
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7127lost-27-4342
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareHoly Cannoli1.6730lost-30-4315
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5228won+15-4285
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7226won+19-4300
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5125won+13-4319
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7228lost-28-4332
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4527won+12-4304
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4730lost-30-4316
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7833lost-33-4287
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6237lost-37-4254
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7334won+25-4217
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6032won+19-4242
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseIberian Soul1.8430won+25-4261
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5828won+16-4286
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7331lost-31-4302
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6929won+20-4271
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6332lost-32-4291
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4531won+14-4259
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7529won+22-4273
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3632lost-32-4294
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6536lost-36-4262
09.10.26Procyon – BESTIA AcademyBESTIA Academy1.8840lost-40-4227
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8237won+30-4187
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7941lost-41-4217
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8138won+31-4176
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2637won+9-4207
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7341lost-41-4216
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4939won+19-4176
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5437won+20-4195
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8641lost-41-4215
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.5746lost-46-4174
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.8142won+34-4128
08.10.26Legion – NasNas1.6140won+24-4162
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5144lost-44-4187
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6341won+26-4142
08.10.26Acend – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.5146lost-46-4169
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7751lost-51-4122
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3949won+19-4071
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7555lost-55-4091
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4552won+24-4036
08.10.26Bounty Hunters – ProcyonBounty Hunters1.8248won+40-4060
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.