Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1287u
ROI
-5.3%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
126.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-287u
period 6top-up-394u
period 5top-up-422u
period 4top-up-175u
period 3top-up-3u
period 2profit withdrawn+41u
period 1top-up-48u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1128 | 56% | +559 | +2.1% | 41.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -670 | -5.2% | 72.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1373 | 56% | -697 | -5.1% | 74.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -1287 | -5.3% | 126.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -2852 | -5.7% | 214.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -4737 | -6.2% | 242.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 14 | won | +7 | -287 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | HOTU | 1.84 | 14 | won | +12 | -294 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Gothic | 1.74 | 14 | lost | -14 | -306 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 14 | won | +11 | -292 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 14 | lost | -14 | -303 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 14 | won | +10 | -289 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 14 | lost | -14 | -298 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 14 | won | +11 | -284 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 14 | won | +7 | -295 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 14 | won | +11 | -303 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | regain | 1.82 | 14 | lost | -14 | -314 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 14 | won | +10 | -300 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 14 | lost | -14 | -310 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 14 | won | +7 | -296 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 14 | won | +11 | -302 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 14 | lost | -14 | -314 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 14 | lost | -14 | -299 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 14 | won | +6 | -285 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 14 | won | +4 | -291 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Wildcard | 1.69 | 14 | won | +10 | -295 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | 6666 | 1.72 | 14 | won | +10 | -305 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | WBT Academy | 1.72 | 14 | lost | -14 | -315 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 14 | won | +7 | -301 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 14 | won | +6 | -308 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | Club 333 | 1.78 | 14 | lost | -14 | -314 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 1.62 | 14 | won | +9 | -300 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 14 | won | +11 | -309 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | ALKA | 1.62 | 14 | lost | -14 | -320 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Spirit | 1.60 | 14 | won | +8 | -306 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 14 | lost | -14 | -314 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.58 | 14 | won | +8 | -300 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 14 | lost | -14 | -308 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.69 | 14 | won | +10 | -294 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.63 | 14 | lost | -14 | -304 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 14 | won | +6 | -289 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 14 | lost | -14 | -296 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 14 | won | +11 | -281 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | New Legends | 1.58 | 14 | lost | -14 | -292 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | Turma do Pagode | 1.60 | 15 | lost | -15 | -277 |
| 09.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – ALKA | Bounty Hunters | 1.82 | 15 | won | +12 | -263 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | INFINITE | 1.79 | 15 | lost | -15 | -275 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 15 | won | +4 | -260 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.81 | 15 | won | +12 | -263 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 15 | lost | -15 | -275 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Misa | 1.54 | 15 | won | +8 | -260 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 15 | won | +7 | -268 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 15 | lost | -15 | -276 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Rare Atom | 1.57 | 15 | lost | -15 | -261 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 15 | lost | -15 | -246 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 16 | lost | -16 | -230 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | Enjoy | 1.51 | 16 | lost | -16 | -215 |
| 08.10.26 | OG – Sangal | Sangal | 1.63 | 16 | won | +10 | -198 |
| 08.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.51 | 16 | won | +8 | -208 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Color | 1.77 | 16 | lost | -16 | -216 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 16 | won | +6 | -200 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 16 | won | +6 | -207 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 16 | won | +7 | -212 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | BESTIA Academy | 1.87 | 16 | lost | -16 | -219 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 16 | won | +8 | -203 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | Sangal | 1.72 | 16 | won | +11 | -211 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.