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Always the favorite

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-3026u
ROI
-6.3%
win rate
56%
bets
1374
drawdown
238.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-487u
period 6top-up-796u
period 5top-up-813u
period 4top-up-199u
period 3top-up-309u
period 2top-up-558u
period 1profit withdrawn+136u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale116955%+86+0.3%51.1%Select
1% of bankroll137456%-752-5.9%80.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137456%-791-5.8%84.1%Select
2% of bankroll137456%-1426-6%138.8%Select
5% of bankroll137456%-3026-6.3%238.4%Select
10% of bankroll137456%-4669-6.5%299.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3825won+10-2026
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4925won+12-2035
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5524won+13-2047
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5525lost-25-2060
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7824won+19-2035
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6025lost-25-2054
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7125won+17-2028
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7626lost-26-2046
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7025won+18-2020
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7924won+19-2037
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8223won+19-2057
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8224lost-24-2076
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4824won+11-2051
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3525lost-25-2063
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4724won+11-2038
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5326lost-26-2049
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8125won+20-2023
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5024won+12-2043
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7125lost-25-2055
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3525won+9-2030
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.6924won+17-2038
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7223won+17-2055
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7225lost-25-2072
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5124won+12-2047
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4523won+11-2060
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7825lost-25-2070
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGGround Zero1.5624won+13-2046
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8023won+18-2059
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.8824lost-24-2077
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6024won+14-2053
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4825lost-25-2067
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5824won+14-2043
09.10.26Acend – NexusNexus1.7823won+18-2057
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6922won+15-2075
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6324lost-24-2090
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4523won+10-2067
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3624lost-24-2077
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4026lost-26-2053
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6527lost-27-2027
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6028lost-28-2000
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8227won+22-1972
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7929lost-29-1994
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4930lost-30-1965
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.8129won+24-1935
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7330lost-30-1959
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4930won+15-1928
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5429won+16-1943
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3229won+9-1959
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8427won+23-1968
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8629lost-29-1991
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4230lost-30-1962
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5132lost-32-1932
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSRBLS1.7534lost-34-1900
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6633won+21-1866
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7734lost-34-1888
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3934won+13-1853
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7332won+24-1867
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8734lost-34-1890
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7536lost-36-1856
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5035won+17-1820
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.