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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-558u
ROI
-2%
win rate
58%
bets
2821
drawdown
79.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+145u
period 6top-up-116u
period 5top-up-131u
period 4top-up-189u
period 3top-up-116u
period 2top-up-211u
period 1profit withdrawn+61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)282158%-558-2%79.1%Select
1% of bankroll282158%-575-2.1%79.8%Select
Martingale18657%-663-12%78.8%Select
2% of bankroll282158%-1153-2.2%139.8%Select
5% of bankroll282158%-2606-2.4%240.8%Select
10% of bankroll282158%-3949-2.6%292.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2821, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5442
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7437
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9430
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10422
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6432
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10425
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4435
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8431
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10423
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7433
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4426
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8422
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9414
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10406
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8416
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7408
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7401
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8394
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7385
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8379
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5371
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7366
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5359
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10355
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5365
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8359
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8351
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10344
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5354
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8349
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8341
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10333
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5343
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10338
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6348
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10343
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10353
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10363
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8373
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3365
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4362
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6358
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10352
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5362
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10357
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7367
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7360
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+6353
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10346
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6356
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7350
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10343
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10353
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-10363
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-10373
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+8383
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4375
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3371
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3367
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritSpirit1.6210lost-10364
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.