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Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-966u
ROI
-3.8%
win rate
57%
bets
2828
drawdown
110.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+76u
period 6top-up-302u
period 5top-up-172u
period 4top-up-201u
period 3top-up-171u
period 2top-up-215u
period 1profit withdrawn+18u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale75754%+287+1.5%47%Select
1% of bankroll282857%-966-3.8%110.8%Select
Flat (10 units)282857%-1009-3.6%115.3%Select
2% of bankroll282857%-1823-4%195.3%Select
5% of bankroll282857%-3673-4.5%343%Select
10% of bankroll282857%-5202-5.2%447.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2828, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4711won+534
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.7711lost-1129
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6911won+740
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3811won+433
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7611lost-1129
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4911won+539
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8411won+934
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6611won+725
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4611lost-1118
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7411lost-1129
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8711won+940
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6511won+730
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7211lost-1123
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4311won+534
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7811won+830
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6011lost-1121
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7111won+832
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4011won+424
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7611won+820
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+612
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7611lost-116
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+817
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+78
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+71
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-6
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-15
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-22
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-30
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-34
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-41
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-46
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-36
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-44
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-49
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-39
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-29
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-34
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-24
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-32
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-39
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-46
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-36
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8-41
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-49
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-39
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8-29
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3-37
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4-40
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-44
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10-50
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10-40
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10-30
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7-20
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7-27
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10-34
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6-24
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+7-30
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4210won+4-37
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4-41
11.10.26Bounty Hunters – LPBounty Hunters1.8610lost-10-45
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.