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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1108u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
57%
bets
2821
drawdown
119.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+34u
period 6top-up-328u
period 5top-up-360u
period 4top-up-189u
period 3top-up-116u
period 2top-up-211u
period 1profit withdrawn+61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale18657%-663-12%78.8%Select
1% of bankroll282157%-1037-4%112.7%Select
Flat (10 units)282157%-1108-3.9%119.5%Selected
2% of bankroll282157%-1921-4.1%186.8%Select
5% of bankroll282157%-3730-4.1%283.3%Select
10% of bankroll282157%-5142-4.3%310.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2821, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-108
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-115
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-105
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-95
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-104
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-110
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-100
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-104
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-112
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-102
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-109
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7-113
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-120
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-126
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-116
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-124
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-131
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-138
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6210won+6-146
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-153
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-160
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-165
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-172
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-177
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-167
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-172
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8-180
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-187
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-177
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8-182
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-190
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10-198
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5-188
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-193
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-183
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5-188
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-193
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8-183
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-191
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3-181
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4-184
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-188
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10-194
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10-184
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10-174
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7-164
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7-171
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6-178
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10-184
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+6-174
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7-181
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10-188
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4-178
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-10-182
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-10-172
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+8-162
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4-170
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareHoly Cannoli1.6710lost-10-174
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3-164
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritSpirit1.6210lost-10-168
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.