Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-592u
ROI
-4.3%
win rate
57%
bets
516
drawdown
82.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+408u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 516 | 57% | -592 | -4.3% | 82.4% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 2824 | 57% | -865 | -3.3% | 94.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2824 | 57% | -915 | -3.2% | 99.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2824 | 57% | -1626 | -3.4% | 154.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2824 | 57% | -3323 | -3.5% | 234.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2824 | 57% | -4740 | -3.6% | 261.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 516, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.05.26 | Hashiras – EAC | Hashiras | 1.83 | 635 | lost | -635 | 408 |
| 27.05.26 | ALGO – Prestige | Prestige | 1.61 | 640 | lost | -640 | 1042 |
| 27.05.26 | ASTRAL – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.80 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1682 |
| 26.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Virtus.pro | CYBERSHOKE | 1.81 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2002 |
| 26.05.26 | KOLESIE – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2162 |
| 26.05.26 | ASTRAL – MANA | ASTRAL | 1.53 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2242 |
| 26.05.26 | ALGO – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2282 |
| 26.05.26 | Nemesis – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2302 |
| 26.05.26 | The Last Resort – Dripmen | The Last Resort | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 2312 |
| 26.05.26 | Just Players – ex-Zero Tenacity | Just Players | 1.83 | 20 | won | +17 | 2304 |
| 26.05.26 | GenOne – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2288 |
| 26.05.26 | AM – Lazer Cats | AM | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 2298 |
| 26.05.26 | Project 91 – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 2291 |
| 26.05.26 | TYLOO – Kaleido | TYLOO | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | 2285 |
| 26.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.52 | 20 | won | +10 | 2278 |
| 26.05.26 | Rune Eaters – Bebop | Rune Eaters | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2268 |
| 26.05.26 | Oramond – Leo | Oramond | 1.75 | 10 | won | +8 | 2278 |
| 26.05.26 | G2 Ares – Entropy | G2 Ares | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 2270 |
| 26.05.26 | ARCRED – Aurora Young Blud | ARCRED | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | 2263 |
| 26.05.26 | Falcons Force – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 2257 |
| 26.05.26 | NAVI Junior – Prestige | Prestige | 1.76 | 10 | won | +8 | 2250 |
| 26.05.26 | ENCE – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 2243 |
| 26.05.26 | Lazer Cats – TNC | TNC | 1.80 | 40 | won | +32 | 2236 |
| 25.05.26 | G2 Ares – Lilmix | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2204 |
| 25.05.26 | MANA – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2224 |
| 25.05.26 | Leo – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.87 | 160 | won | +139 | 2234 |
| 25.05.26 | Phantom – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.79 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2095 |
| 25.05.26 | Oramond – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.87 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2175 |
| 25.05.26 | ALGO – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 1.61 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2215 |
| 25.05.26 | Kaleido – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2235 |
| 25.05.26 | Enjoy – Dripmen | Enjoy | 1.72 | 160 | won | +115 | 2245 |
| 25.05.26 | TNC – ex-Zero Tenacity | TNC | 1.76 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2130 |
| 25.05.26 | Lavked – Phantom | Lavked | 1.65 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2210 |
| 25.05.26 | SAW – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 1.70 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2250 |
| 25.05.26 | ex-RUBY – Ursa | ex-RUBY | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2270 |
| 25.05.26 | Leo – GenOne | GenOne | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 2280 |
| 25.05.26 | EC BANGA – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 2272 |
| 25.05.26 | Prestige – MANA | Prestige | 1.63 | 10 | won | +6 | 2264 |
| 25.05.26 | TNC – Misa | TNC | 1.75 | 10 | won | +8 | 2258 |
| 25.05.26 | Lazer Cats – Just Players | Just Players | 1.85 | 10 | won | +9 | 2250 |
| 25.05.26 | Marsborne – Overtake Sector | Marsborne | 1.72 | 80 | won | +58 | 2241 |
| 24.05.26 | Overtake Sector – ex-Aether | Overtake Sector | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2184 |
| 24.05.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | Marsborne | 1.72 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2224 |
| 24.05.26 | Atreides – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2244 |
| 24.05.26 | ALGO – Omega | Omega | 1.69 | 20 | won | +14 | 2254 |
| 24.05.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2240 |
| 24.05.26 | GenOne – EAC | GenOne | 1.69 | 20 | won | +14 | 2250 |
| 24.05.26 | Fortress – STATE | Fortress | 1.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2236 |
| 24.05.26 | G2 Ares – DONSTU | G2 Ares | 1.75 | 40 | won | +30 | 2246 |
| 24.05.26 | JiJieHao – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.85 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2216 |
| 24.05.26 | Walczaki – Alliance | Walczaki | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2236 |
| 24.05.26 | fnatic – Lavked | Lavked | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 2246 |
| 24.05.26 | Entropy – WAZABI | Entropy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 2239 |
| 24.05.26 | megoshort – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 2230 |
| 24.05.26 | EAC – Atreides | Atreides | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 2223 |
| 24.05.26 | MANA – Hashiras | Hashiras | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 2216 |
| 24.05.26 | Strael Bora – Fortress | Fortress | 1.82 | 40 | won | +33 | 2209 |
| 24.05.26 | Falcons – Legacy | Falcons | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2176 |
| 24.05.26 | GenOne – brazylijski luz | GenOne | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2196 |
| 23.05.26 | Keyd Stars – paiN Academy | Keyd Stars | 1.76 | 10 | won | +8 | 2206 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.