Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1759u
ROI
-13.8%
win rate
48%
bets
357
drawdown
154.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-759u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1242 | 52% | -1064 | -9.7% | 106.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1242 | 52% | -1194 | -9.6% | 120% | Select |
| Martingale | 357 | 48% | -1759 | -13.8% | 154.2% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 1242 | 52% | -1890 | -9.6% | 188.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1242 | 52% | -3314 | -8.8% | 322.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1242 | 52% | -3934 | -6.7% | 236.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 357, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.06.26 | OLDBOYS PL – bankaPEPSI | bankaPEPSI | 1.82 | 217 | lost | -217 | -759 |
| 06.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – 100 Thieves | Johnny Speeds | 1.88 | 320 | lost | -320 | -542 |
| 06.06.26 | Astralis – 9z | Astralis | 1.81 | 160 | lost | -160 | -222 |
| 06.06.26 | Leo – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.81 | 80 | lost | -80 | -62 |
| 06.06.26 | Spirit – BetBoom | BetBoom | 1.88 | 40 | lost | -40 | 18 |
| 06.06.26 | ex-RUBY – 100 Thieves | ex-RUBY | 1.67 | 20 | lost | -20 | 58 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 – M80 | M80 | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | 78 |
| 06.06.26 | paiN – TYLOO | TYLOO | 1.81 | 160 | won | +129 | 88 |
| 06.06.26 | FUT – B8 | B8 | 1.58 | 80 | lost | -80 | -41 |
| 06.06.26 | Astralis – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.64 | 40 | lost | -40 | 39 |
| 06.06.26 | 9z – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.77 | 20 | lost | -20 | 79 |
| 06.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – 1win | 1win | 1.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 99 |
| 06.06.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.69 | 40 | won | +28 | 109 |
| 05.06.26 | Lilmix – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 1.72 | 20 | lost | -20 | 81 |
| 05.06.26 | Fire Flux – Arch | Arch | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 101 |
| 05.06.26 | VP.Prodigy – Clutchain | Clutchain | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 111 |
| 05.06.26 | XI – LFO 6 | LFO 6 | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 95 |
| 05.06.26 | Misa – JUMBO | Misa | 1.75 | 20 | won | +15 | 105 |
| 05.06.26 | DONSTU – COPH9K | COPH9K | 1.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 90 |
| 05.06.26 | eternal premium – Project 91 | eternal premium | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 100 |
| 05.06.26 | NRG – BIG | BIG | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 93 |
| 05.06.26 | ex-RUBY – RUSTEC | ex-RUBY | 1.71 | 20 | won | +14 | 85 |
| 05.06.26 | QUAZAR – ReThink | ReThink | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 70 |
| 05.06.26 | ENRAGE – ROUNDS | ROUNDS | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 80 |
| 05.06.26 | Liquid – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 72 |
| 05.06.26 | SPARTA – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 64 |
| 05.06.26 | Leo – Lilmix | Leo | 1.78 | 40 | won | +31 | 58 |
| 05.06.26 | DragonClaw – NEW VISION | DragonClaw | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 27 |
| 04.06.26 | Walczaki – KOLESIE | KOLESIE | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 47 |
| 04.06.26 | Liquid – HEROIC | Liquid | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 57 |
| 04.06.26 | AM – ex-RUBY | AM | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 39 |
| 04.06.26 | GamerLegion – BIG | GamerLegion | 1.73 | 80 | won | +58 | 49 |
| 04.06.26 | brazylijski luz – The Last Resort | brazylijski luz | 1.84 | 40 | lost | -40 | -9 |
| 04.06.26 | Atreides – TNC | TNC | 1.88 | 20 | lost | -20 | 31 |
| 04.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Acend | Acend | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 51 |
| 03.06.26 | Arch – Wingman | Arch | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 61 |
| 03.06.26 | NEW VISION – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.84 | 10 | won | +8 | 52 |
| 03.06.26 | TDK – Atreides | TDK | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 44 |
| 03.06.26 | M80 – B8 | B8 | 1.79 | 80 | won | +63 | 36 |
| 03.06.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.49 | 40 | lost | -40 | -28 |
| 03.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – TNC | TNC | 1.63 | 20 | lost | -20 | 12 |
| 03.06.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Atreides | Atreides | 1.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 32 |
| 03.06.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – RUSTEC | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.84 | 20 | won | +17 | 42 |
| 03.06.26 | NRG – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 26 |
| 03.06.26 | The Last Resort – Entropy | The Last Resort | 1.77 | 80 | won | +62 | 36 |
| 03.06.26 | AM – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.79 | 40 | lost | -40 | -26 |
| 03.06.26 | ARCRED – INOX Division | ARCRED | 1.77 | 20 | lost | -20 | 14 |
| 03.06.26 | illwill – ex-Zero Tenacity | illwill | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 34 |
| 02.06.26 | BIG – Gaimin Gladiators | BIG | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 44 |
| 02.06.26 | GamerLegion – FlyQuest | GamerLegion | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 36 |
| 02.06.26 | M80 – Sharks | M80 | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 29 |
| 02.06.26 | DragonClaw – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.86 | 40 | won | +34 | 21 |
| 02.06.26 | MIBR – TYLOO | TYLOO | 1.86 | 20 | lost | -20 | -14 |
| 02.06.26 | SINNERS – NRG | SINNERS | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 6 |
| 02.06.26 | HEROIC – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 16 |
| 02.06.26 | BIG – Liquid | BIG | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2 |
| 02.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – GenOne | GenOne | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | 12 |
| 02.06.26 | B8 – TYLOO | B8 | 1.79 | 427 | won | +336 | 3 |
| 02.06.26 | MIBR – THUNDER dOWNUNDER | MIBR | 1.77 | 320 | lost | -320 | -332 |
| 02.06.26 | Rebels – ex-Zero Tenacity | Rebels | 1.63 | 160 | lost | -160 | -12 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.