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Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1057u
ROI
-4.1%
win rate
57%
bets
2832
drawdown
109.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-84u
period 6top-up-271u
period 5top-up-164u
period 4top-up-204u
period 3top-up-148u
period 2top-up-166u
period 1top-up-19u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale118656%-211-0.6%63.1%Select
1% of bankroll283257%-1057-4.1%109.9%Selected
Flat (10 units)283257%-1073-3.8%112%Select
2% of bankroll283257%-2050-4.4%205%Select
5% of bankroll283257%-4362-5.3%393.2%Select
10% of bankroll283257%-6131-6.4%482.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsFOKUS1.589won+5-57
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.479won+4-63
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECBlack Phoenix1.769won+7-67
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.849lost-9-74
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.739lost-9-65
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.869lost-9-55
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.779won+7-46
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.389won+3-53
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.769lost-9-57
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.499won+5-47
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.849won+8-52
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.669won+6-60
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.469lost-9-66
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.559lost-9-56
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.749lost-9-47
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.659won+6-38
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.729lost-9-44
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.439won+4-34
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.789won+7-38
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.609lost-9-46
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.719won+7-36
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.409won+4-43
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.769won+7-47
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.609won+5-54
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.769lost-9-59
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.709won+6-50
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.809won+7-56
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.719won+6-64
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.829lost-9-70
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.629won+6-61
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.789won+7-66
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.459won+4-73
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.729won+6-77
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.469won+4-84
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.349won+3-88
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.799won+7-91
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.539won+5-98
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.749lost-9-102
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.779lost-9-94
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.509won+4-85
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.749lost-9-89
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.829won+7-80
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.669won+6-88
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.489won+4-93
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.359lost-9-98
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.559won+5-89
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.879lost-9-94
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.479won+4-85
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.539lost-9-89
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.819won+7-80
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.299won+3-87
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.409won+4-90
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.609won+5-93
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.509lost-9-98
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.509won+4-89
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.699lost-9-94
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.739won+6-85
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.699won+6-91
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.639lost-9-97
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.629won+5-89
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.