Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-856u
ROI
-7.8%
win rate
53%
bets
1249
drawdown
86.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-315u
period 3top-up-297u
period 2top-up-62u
period 1top-up-182u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 661 | 54% | -6 | -0% | 61.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -856 | -7.8% | 86.8% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 1249 | 53% | -948 | -7.6% | 96.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -1546 | -8.1% | 155.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -2881 | -8.7% | 281% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1249 | 53% | -3749 | -9.5% | 352.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 7 | won | +6 | 144 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 7 | won | +5 | 139 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.53 | 7 | lost | -7 | 133 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | FaZe | 1.68 | 7 | lost | -7 | 140 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 7 | lost | -7 | 147 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | OG | 1.77 | 7 | won | +5 | 154 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 7 | won | +5 | 149 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 7 | lost | -7 | 144 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 7 | won | +4 | 151 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | G2 Ares | 1.80 | 7 | won | +5 | 147 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 7 | won | +4 | 142 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 138 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | 145 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | PCIFIC | 1.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | 152 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | 159 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | G2 | 1.74 | 7 | won | +5 | 166 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Enjoy | 1.67 | 7 | lost | -7 | 161 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 7 | lost | -7 | 168 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 7 | won | +5 | 175 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 7 | won | +3 | 170 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.75 | 7 | won | +5 | 167 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.78 | 7 | won | +5 | 162 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | Inner Circle Academy | 1.85 | 7 | won | +6 | 156 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 1.72 | 7 | lost | -7 | 150 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | Lavked | 1.84 | 7 | lost | -7 | 157 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 7 | lost | -7 | 164 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 7 | won | +6 | 171 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | Fire Flux | 1.82 | 7 | lost | -7 | 166 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.71 | 7 | won | +5 | 173 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 7 | won | +3 | 168 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 7 | won | +2 | 165 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Color | 1.74 | 7 | won | +5 | 163 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 7 | lost | -7 | 158 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.80 | 7 | won | +6 | 165 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 7 | lost | -7 | 159 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.75 | 7 | won | +5 | 167 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 7 | won | +6 | 161 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.76 | 7 | won | +5 | 155 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC – Just Players | PCIFIC | 1.86 | 7 | lost | -7 | 150 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 7 | won | +3 | 157 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | Nexus | 1.75 | 7 | lost | -7 | 154 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 7 | won | +5 | 161 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | ENCE | 1.82 | 7 | won | +6 | 156 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.74 | 7 | won | +5 | 151 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | Permitta | 1.83 | 7 | lost | -7 | 146 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.67 | 7 | lost | -7 | 152 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 159 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.81 | 7 | lost | -7 | 167 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.85 | 7 | lost | -7 | 174 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | Permitta | 1.83 | 7 | won | +6 | 181 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | BERG | 1.51 | 7 | lost | -7 | 175 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.66 | 7 | won | +5 | 182 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 7 | lost | -7 | 177 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | MOUZ | 1.64 | 7 | won | +5 | 185 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 7 | lost | -7 | 180 |
| 16.08.26 | The MongolZ – paiN | The MongolZ | 1.83 | 7 | won | +6 | 187 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 7 | won | +2 | 181 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.55 | 7 | won | +4 | 179 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | Vexar | 1.65 | 7 | won | +5 | 175 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 7 | won | +3 | 170 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.