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Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-966u
ROI
-3.8%
win rate
57%
bets
2828
drawdown
110.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+76u
period 6top-up-302u
period 5top-up-172u
period 4top-up-201u
period 3top-up-171u
period 2top-up-215u
period 1profit withdrawn+18u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale75754%+287+1.5%47%Select
1% of bankroll282857%-966-3.8%110.8%Selected
Flat (10 units)282857%-1009-3.6%115.3%Select
2% of bankroll282857%-1823-4%195.3%Select
5% of bankroll282857%-3673-4.5%343%Select
10% of bankroll282857%-5202-5.2%447.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2828, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4711won+534
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.7711lost-1129
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadFORZE Reload1.6911won+740
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3811won+433
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7611lost-1129
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4911won+539
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8411won+934
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6611won+725
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4611lost-1118
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7411lost-1129
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8711won+940
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6511won+730
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7211lost-1123
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4311won+534
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7811won+830
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6011lost-1121
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7111won+832
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4011won+424
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7611won+820
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+612
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7611lost-116
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+817
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+78
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+71
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-6
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-15
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-22
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-30
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-34
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-41
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-46
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-36
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-44
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-49
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-39
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-29
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-34
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-24
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-32
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-39
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-46
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-36
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8-41
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-49
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-39
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8-29
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3-37
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4-40
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-44
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10-50
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10-40
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10-30
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7-20
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7-27
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10-34
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6-24
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+7-30
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4210won+4-37
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4-41
11.10.26Bounty Hunters – LPBounty Hunters1.8610lost-10-45
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.