Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-5737u
ROI
-5.6%
win rate
57%
bets
2822
drawdown
472.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-492u
period 6top-up-978u
period 5top-up-995u
period 4top-up-981u
period 3top-up-975u
period 2top-up-980u
period 1top-up-337u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 66 | 50% | -1000 | -36.5% | 100% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -1088 | -4.3% | 119.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2822 | 57% | -1143 | -4.1% | 125.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -2051 | -4.4% | 215.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -4138 | -4.9% | 398.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -5737 | -5.6% | 472.7% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2822, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 48 | won | +24 | -4737 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | Rooster | 1.66 | 45 | won | +30 | -4760 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 51 | lost | -51 | -4790 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 56 | lost | -56 | -4740 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 52 | won | +45 | -4684 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 1.65 | 49 | won | +31 | -4728 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | SUKEBAN | 1.72 | 54 | lost | -54 | -4760 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 52 | won | +22 | -4706 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 48 | won | +37 | -4728 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 53 | lost | -53 | -4766 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 50 | won | +35 | -4712 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 48 | won | +19 | -4747 |
| 13.10.26 | JiJieHao – BBL | JiJieHao | 1.67 | 45 | won | +30 | -4767 |
| 13.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – Martians | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.87 | 41 | won | +36 | -4797 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 46 | lost | -46 | -4833 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 43 | won | +30 | -4787 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 40 | won | +32 | -4817 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Rooster | 1.71 | 37 | won | +26 | -4848 |
| 13.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Iowa Stormboar | Overtake Sector | 1.83 | 34 | won | +28 | -4875 |
| 13.10.26 | Galorys – Bounty Hunters | Galorys | 1.62 | 32 | won | +20 | -4903 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | 6666 | 1.78 | 30 | won | +23 | -4923 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 29 | won | +13 | -4946 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.72 | 27 | won | +19 | -4959 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 26 | won | +12 | -4978 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.34 | 25 | won | +8 | -4990 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 23 | won | +12 | -4998 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 22 | won | +17 | -5011 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Lynn Vision | 1.75 | 20 | won | +15 | -5028 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | Fire Flux | 1.77 | 22 | lost | -22 | -5043 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 21 | won | +11 | -5021 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | Fruju | 1.74 | 24 | lost | -24 | -5032 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 22 | won | +18 | -5008 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | regain | 1.82 | 24 | lost | -24 | -5026 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 23 | won | +11 | -5002 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 26 | lost | -26 | -5013 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 24 | won | +14 | -4987 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 23 | won | +11 | -5000 |
| 11.10.26 | antidaun – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.81 | 22 | won | +18 | -5011 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | -5029 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 22 | lost | -22 | -5045 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 22 | won | +6 | -5023 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 21 | won | +8 | -5029 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.60 | 20 | won | +12 | -5037 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 22 | lost | -22 | -5049 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 21 | won | +10 | -5027 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Ground Zero | 1.69 | 23 | lost | -23 | -5037 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | Abyssal | 1.73 | 22 | won | +16 | -5014 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 1.69 | 20 | won | +14 | -5030 |
| 11.10.26 | Zomblers – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.73 | 22 | lost | -22 | -5044 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Overtake Sector | 1.63 | 25 | lost | -25 | -5022 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | regain | 1.65 | 23 | won | +15 | -4997 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Ground Zero | 1.69 | 22 | won | +15 | -5012 |
| 11.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Yawara | Yawara | 1.82 | 24 | lost | -24 | -5027 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | Procyon | 1.71 | 27 | lost | -27 | -5003 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Wildcard | NRG | 1.85 | 30 | lost | -30 | -4976 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | Marsborne | 1.77 | 33 | lost | -33 | -4946 |
| 10.10.26 | FaZe – NAVI Junior | FaZe | 1.82 | 31 | won | +25 | -4912 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 30 | won | +12 | -4938 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 29 | won | +9 | -4950 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Holy Cannoli | 1.67 | 32 | lost | -32 | -4959 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.