Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3785u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
52%
bets
1246
drawdown
356.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-960u
period 3top-up-999u
period 2top-up-848u
period 1top-up-978u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 398 | 51% | -607 | -5% | 75.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1246 | 52% | -941 | -8.6% | 94.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1246 | 52% | -1081 | -8.7% | 108.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1246 | 52% | -1656 | -8.5% | 165.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1246 | 52% | -2963 | -8.6% | 288.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1246 | 52% | -3785 | -8.9% | 356.1% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1246, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 4 | won | +3 | -2785 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.53 | 4 | lost | -4 | -2788 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | FaZe | 1.68 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2783 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2779 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2774 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 5 | won | +4 | -2768 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2772 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 6 | won | +3 | -2766 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | G2 Ares | 1.80 | 5 | won | +4 | -2769 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 5 | won | +3 | -2773 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.80 | 5 | lost | -5 | -2776 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.85 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2770 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | EAC | 1.78 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2764 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2757 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2750 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 8 | won | +6 | -2742 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2747 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 8 | won | +5 | -2739 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Raccoons | Black Phoenix | 1.83 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2744 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.78 | 8 | won | +7 | -2735 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 8 | won | +4 | -2742 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 8 | won | +3 | -2745 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.77 | 7 | won | +5 | -2749 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.87 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2754 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2746 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 8 | won | +7 | -2738 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.71 | 8 | won | +5 | -2744 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.78 | 7 | won | +5 | -2750 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | Vexar | 1.78 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2755 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta – OG | Permitta | 1.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2747 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 8 | won | +7 | -2739 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2745 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | Metizport | 1.70 | 8 | won | +6 | -2737 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2742 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.75 | 9 | won | +6 | -2733 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 8 | won | +7 | -2740 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2746 |
| 17.08.26 | Revise – FORZE Reload | Revise | 1.81 | 8 | won | +7 | -2738 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.88 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2744 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | LPH | 1.63 | 8 | won | +5 | -2735 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 8 | won | +6 | -2741 |
| 17.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.82 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2746 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | ALKA | 1.82 | 8 | won | +7 | -2737 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.68 | 8 | won | +5 | -2744 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2749 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Imperial | 1.65 | 8 | won | +5 | -2741 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.68 | 7 | won | +5 | -2746 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | UNiTY | 1.80 | 7 | won | +5 | -2751 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | Fire Flux | 1.83 | 6 | won | +5 | -2756 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | BERG | 1.51 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2762 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2755 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | 9z | 1.82 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2747 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2738 |
| 16.08.26 | The MongolZ – paiN | The MongolZ | 1.83 | 9 | won | +7 | -2728 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | FORZE Reload | 1.73 | 8 | won | +6 | -2736 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 8 | won | +3 | -2742 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.58 | 8 | won | +4 | -2744 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | Vexar | 1.65 | 7 | won | +5 | -2749 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.66 | 7 | won | +4 | -2753 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | Spirit | 1.74 | 6 | won | +5 | -2758 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.